PSM Makassar vs PSS Sleman: prediction and stats
Liga 1Regular Season - 19Kick-off on February 16, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadion Gelora B.J. Habibie, Lompoe
The Footlab AI model makes PSM Makassar the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for PSS Sleman. The most likely score is 1-1. If PSM Makassar wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,526 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win PSM Makassar vs PSS Sleman?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate PSM Makassar (1,715) and PSS Sleman (1,776).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for PSM Makassar vs PSS Sleman
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
PSM Makassar
4-3-3- 24R. Eka Pratama
- 7L. Veldwijk
- 71M. Hidayat
- 10N. Foor
- 8S. Jevtoski
- 88A. Raehan
- 94D. Lagator
- 22Victor Luiz
- 43N. Lalić
- 2Aloísio Neto
- 97Hilmansyah
PSS Sleman
4-3-3- 11Gustavo Tocantins
- 15S. Ashkovski
- 88M. Lorenzen
- 76D. Dion
- 25R. Simanjuntak
- 55C. Nduwarugira
- 4Cleberson
- 6K. Gomes
- 3Lucao
- 19F. Aryanto
- 1Pedro Caracoci de Oliveira
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 11:44 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, PSM Makassar have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; PSS Sleman have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | PSIM Yogyakarta(away) | 2-1 | Liga 1 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | PSS Sleman(away) | 0-3 | Liga 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Persita(home) | 2-2 | Liga 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Arema FC(home) | 3-3 | Liga 1 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Persib Bandung(away) | 1-3 | Liga 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | PSM Makassar(home) | 3-0 | Liga 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Dewa United(away) | 1-2 | Liga 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Persepam Madura Utd(home) | 1-3 | Liga 1 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Bali United(away) | 1-2 | Liga 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | Garudayaksa(home) | 2-2 | Liga 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 PSM Makassar wins, 2 draws, 2 PSS Sleman wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | PSS Sleman 3-0 PSM Makassar | Liga 1 |
| May 3, 2025 | PSS Sleman 3-1 PSM Makassar | Liga 1 |
| Dec 13, 2024 | PSM Makassar 1-1 PSS Sleman | Liga 1 |
| Mar 8, 2024 | PSM Makassar 2-1 PSS Sleman | Liga 1 |
| Sep 3, 2023 | PSS Sleman 1-1 PSM Makassar | Liga 1 |
| Jan 14, 2023 | PSM Makassar 4-0 PSS Sleman | Liga 1 |
Last archived meeting: PSS Sleman vs PSM Makassar on Oct 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
PSM Makassar score 1.4 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; PSS Sleman score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSM Makassar | 1.4 | 2.0 | 0 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| PSS Sleman | 1.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
PSM Makassar sit 13th in Liga 1 (5 points from 5 matches) and PSS Sleman sit 14th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | PSM Makassar | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 5 |
| 14 | PSS Sleman | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 3 |
A question about PSM Makassar vs PSS Sleman?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for PSM Makassar vs PSS Sleman?
- The Footlab AI model makes PSM Makassar the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for PSS Sleman.
- Where and when is PSM Makassar vs PSS Sleman played?
- PSM Makassar vs PSS Sleman is played on February 16, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion Gelora B.J. Habibie, in the Liga 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 12, 2027PersitavsDewa United
- Feb 13, 2027Malut UnitedvsPersija
- Feb 13, 2027GarudayaksavsBhayangkara FC
- Feb 14, 2027Persib BandungvsPersepam Madura Utd
- Feb 15, 2027Pusamania BorneovsPersijap
- Feb 15, 2027Bali UnitedvsAdhyaksa
- Feb 16, 2027PSIM YogyakartavsPersebaya Surabaya
- Feb 17, 2027Persik KedirivsArema FC