PSM Makassar vs PSS Sleman: prediction and stats
Liga 1Regular Season - 19Kick-off on February 16, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadion Gelora B.J. Habibie, Lompoe
The Footlab model makes PSS Sleman the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for PSM Makassar. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win PSM Makassar vs PSS Sleman?
A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate PSM Makassar (1,685) and PSS Sleman (1,764).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, PSM Makassar have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; PSS Sleman have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Persepam Madura Utd(away) | 0-2 | Liga 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Persib Bandung(home) | 1-2 | Liga 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | Arema FC(away) | 0-3 | Liga 1 |
| May 4, 2026 | Bhayangkara FC(home) | 2-1 | Liga 1 |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Bali United(away) | 0-2 | Liga 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Garudayaksa(home) | 2-2 | Liga 2 |
| May 3, 2026 | PSIS Semarang(home) | 3-0 | Liga 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Persiba Balikpapan(away) | 1-1 | Liga 2 |
| Apr 20, 2026 | Persiku Kudus(home) | 2-1 | Liga 2 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Barito Putera(away) | 0-1 | Liga 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 PSM Makassar win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 PSS Sleman win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2025 | PSS Sleman 3-1 PSM Makassar | Liga 1 |
| Dec 13, 2024 | PSM Makassar 1-1 PSS Sleman | Liga 1 |
| Mar 8, 2024 | PSM Makassar 2-1 PSS Sleman | Liga 1 |
| Sep 3, 2023 | PSS Sleman 1-1 PSM Makassar | Liga 1 |
| Jan 14, 2023 | PSM Makassar 4-0 PSS Sleman | Liga 1 |
| Jul 23, 2022 | PSS Sleman 1-2 PSM Makassar | Liga 1 |
Last archived meeting: PSS Sleman vs PSM Makassar on May 3, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
PSM Makassar score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; PSS Sleman score 1.8 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSM Makassar | 1.2 | 1.9 | 0 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| PSS Sleman | 1.8 | 0.8 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | PSM Makassar | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 39 | 49 | 34 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for PSM Makassar vs PSS Sleman?
- The Footlab model makes PSS Sleman the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for PSM Makassar.
- Where and when is PSM Makassar vs PSS Sleman played?
- PSM Makassar vs PSS Sleman is played on February 16, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion Gelora B.J. Habibie, in the Liga 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 12, 2027PersitavsDewa United
- Feb 13, 2027Malut UnitedvsPersija
- Feb 13, 2027GarudayaksavsBhayangkara FC
- Feb 14, 2027Persib BandungvsPersepam Madura Utd
- Feb 15, 2027Pusamania BorneovsPersijap
- Feb 15, 2027Bali UnitedvsAdhyaksa
- Feb 16, 2027PSIM YogyakartavsPersebaya Surabaya
- Feb 17, 2027Persik KedirivsArema FC