PSMS Medan vs PSPS: prediction and stats
Liga 2Regular Season - 15Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Baharuddin Siregar, Lubuk Pakam, Deli Serdang
The Footlab AI model makes PSMS Medan the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for PSPS. The most likely score is 1-1. If PSMS Medan wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,403 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win PSMS Medan vs PSPS?
On Elo ratings, PSMS Medan has 1,717 points and PSPS 1,725.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for PSMS Medan vs PSPS
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
PSMS Medan
4-2-3-1- 7I. Jauhari
- 19P. Putra
- 69M. Lestusen
- 68F. Rahman
- 14R. Utama
- 8A. Cahya
- 3Ângelo
- 26R. Nurviat
- 5B. Arrahim
- 4H. Alhafiz
- 65R. Nurdin
PSPS
4-3-3- 10Toninho
- 17M. Yasir
- 99N. Siringo
- 8Farinha
- 32V. Ariyanto
- 19P. Trenady
- 13I. Kusuma
- 77Ilham Syafri
- 25A. Tuasalamony
- 6M. Revan
- 75J. Meka
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 04:38 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, PSMS Medan have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; PSPS have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | PSPS(away) | 1-2 | Liga 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Persikad Depok FC(home) | 4-0 | Liga 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Bekasi City(away) | 1-0 | Liga 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Persiku Kudus(home) | 6-0 | Liga 2 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sumsel United(away) | 2-2 | Liga 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | PSMS Medan(home) | 2-1 | Liga 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Semen Padang(away) | 1-0 | Liga 2 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Sumsel United(away) | 2-1 | Liga 2 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Persiraja Banda Aceh(home) | 2-1 | Liga 2 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | PSIS Semarang(away) | 1-2 | Liga 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 PSMS Medan wins, 4 draws, 2 PSPS wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | PSPS 2-1 PSMS Medan | Liga 2 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | PSMS Medan 1-1 PSPS | Liga 2 |
| Nov 19, 2025 | PSMS Medan 1-1 PSPS | Liga 2 |
| Sep 20, 2025 | PSPS 3-3 PSMS Medan | Liga 2 |
| Jan 4, 2025 | PSPS 1-0 PSMS Medan | Liga 2 |
| Oct 19, 2024 | PSMS Medan 1-1 PSPS | Liga 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
PSMS Medan score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; PSPS score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSMS Medan | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| PSPS | 2.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
PSMS Medan sit 7th in Liga 2 (36 points from 27 matches) and PSPS sit 6th (37 points from 27 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | PSPS | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 50 | 45 | 37 |
| 7 | PSMS Medan | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 31 | 36 |
A question about PSMS Medan vs PSPS?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for PSMS Medan vs PSPS?
- The Footlab AI model makes PSMS Medan the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for PSPS.
- Where and when is PSMS Medan vs PSPS played?
- PSMS Medan vs PSPS is played on January 10, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Baharuddin Siregar, in the Liga 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 8, 2027Semen PadangvsPersiku Kudus
- Jan 9, 2027Persipura JayapuravsDejan
- Jan 9, 2027Sumsel UnitedvsPSGC Ciamis
- Jan 9, 2027Persikad Depok FCvsPSIS Semarang
- Jan 9, 2027Tornado PekanbaruvsPersis Solo
- Jan 9, 2027Persiba BalikpapanvsDeltras
- Jan 10, 2027Bekasi CityvsPersiraja Banda Aceh
- Jan 10, 2027Persela LamonganvsBarito Putera