Match

PSMS Medan vs Semen Padang: prediction and stats

Liga 2Regular Season - 16Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Baharuddin Siregar, Lubuk Pakam, Deli Serdang

PSMS MedanSemen Padang

The Footlab AI model makes PSMS Medan the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Semen Padang. The most likely score is 1-1. If PSMS Medan wins, the most likely score is 2-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,521 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win PSMS Medan vs Semen Padang?

PSMS Medan starts as the favourite with a 105-point Elo edge (1,758 vs 1,653).

59%23%18%
PSMS Medan winDrawSemen Padang win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for PSMS Medan vs Semen Padang

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

PSMS Medan

4-2-3-1
  1. 9Javi Siverio
  1. 19P. Putra
  2. 14R. Utama
  3. 15M. Rangga
  4. 96A. Hutagalung
  5. 69M. Lestusen
  1. 3Ângelo
  2. 5B. Arrahim
  3. 2R. Utina
  4. 26R. Nurviat
  1. 65R. Nurdin

Semen Padang

4-3-3
  1. 9I. Spasojević
  2. 6S. Lilipaly
  3. 91Rahmat
  1. 8M. Hargianto
  2. 11N. Setiawan
  3. 96Savio Roberto
  1. 27S. Tahar
  2. 26I. Cukovic
  3. 28R. Hehanussa
  4. 73Zulkifli Lukmansyah
  1. 12I. Al Giffari

Computed on November 5, 2026 at 08:41 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, PSMS Medan have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Semen Padang have 4, 2 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

PSMS Medan
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 3, 2026Persija(home)1-1League Cup Indonesia
Oct 31, 2026PSGC Ciamis(away)2-1Liga 2
Oct 25, 2026PSIS Semarang(home)2-1Liga 2
Oct 17, 2026Semen Padang(away)1-1Liga 2
Oct 11, 2026PSPS(away)1-2Liga 2
Semen Padang
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 30, 2026Sumsel United(home)1-0Liga 2
Oct 24, 2026Persiku Kudus(away)2-1Liga 2
Oct 17, 2026PSMS Medan(home)1-1Liga 2
Oct 11, 2026Persikad Depok FC(away)1-2Liga 2
Oct 4, 2026PSPS(home)0-1Liga 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 PSMS Medan win, 3 draws, 2 Semen Padang wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Semen Padang 1-1 PSMS MedanLiga 2
Jan 22, 2024PSMS Medan 1-1 Semen PadangLiga 2
Jan 17, 2024Semen Padang 2-0 PSMS MedanLiga 2
Dec 1, 2023PSMS Medan 1-2 Semen PadangLiga 2
Oct 9, 2023Semen Padang 2-2 PSMS MedanLiga 2
Sep 26, 2022PSMS Medan 1-0 Semen PadangLiga 2

Last archived meeting: Semen Padang vs PSMS Medan on Oct 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

PSMS Medan score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Semen Padang score 0.6 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
PSMS Medan1.61.149/157/15
Semen Padang0.61.734/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7PSMS Medan27999333136

A question about PSMS Medan vs Semen Padang?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for PSMS Medan vs Semen Padang?
The Footlab AI model makes PSMS Medan the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Semen Padang.
Where and when is PSMS Medan vs Semen Padang played?
PSMS Medan vs Semen Padang is played on January 16, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Baharuddin Siregar, in the Liga 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: PSMS Medan and Semen Padang

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