Púchov vs MŠK Senec: prediction and stats
3. liga - WestWest - 8Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Mestský štadión, Púchov
The Footlab model makes Púchov the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for MŠK Senec. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Púchov vs MŠK Senec?
A very open match: only 76 Elo points separate Púchov (1,617) and MŠK Senec (1,541).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Púchov have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; MŠK Senec have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Spartak Myjava(home) | 2-2 | 3. liga - West |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nitra(home) | 0-0 | 3. liga - West |
| May 15, 2026 | Považská Bystrica(home) | 0-1 | 2. liga |
| May 8, 2026 | Liptovský Mikuláš(away) | 0-3 | 2. liga |
| May 2, 2026 | Zlaté Moravce(home) | 1-0 | 2. liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | DAC II(home) | 0-2 | 3. liga - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Baník Prievidza(away) | 2-1 | 3. liga - West |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Častkovce(home) | 3-2 | 3. liga - West |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Malacky(away) | 2-1 | 3. liga - West |
| May 30, 2026 | Rača(home) | 0-1 | 3. liga - West |
How many goals should we expect?
Púchov score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; MŠK Senec score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Púchov | 0.9 | 1.2 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| MŠK Senec | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Púchov vs MŠK Senec?
- The Footlab model makes Púchov the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for MŠK Senec.
- Where and when is Púchov vs MŠK Senec played?
- Púchov vs MŠK Senec is played on September 26, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Mestský štadión, in the 3. liga - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.