Puebla vs Toluca: result 1-2 and analysis
Liga MXClausura - 14Kick-off on April 8, 2023 at 01:05 AM (UTC)Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla
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What was the result of Puebla vs Toluca?
Toluca won 1-2 on April 8, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 8′I. LópezToluca
- 15′Tiago VolpiToluca (pen.)
- 75′F. WallerPuebla
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Puebla have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Toluca have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2023 | FC Juarez(away) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
| Mar 18, 2023 | Atlas(home) | 0-4 | Liga MX |
| Mar 11, 2023 | Guadalajara Chivas(home) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Mar 5, 2023 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(away) | 4-2 | Liga MX |
| Feb 27, 2023 | Santos Laguna(away) | 2-3 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2023 | Tigres UANL(home) | 3-2 | Liga MX |
| Mar 26, 2023 | Guadalajara Chivas(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 18, 2023 | Club Tijuana(away) | 3-3 | Liga MX |
| Mar 12, 2023 | Mazatlán(home) | 4-1 | Liga MX |
| Mar 6, 2023 | Club Queretaro(away) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Puebla win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Toluca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 2022 | Toluca 1-1 Puebla | Liga MX |
| Apr 3, 2022 | Toluca 2-1 Puebla | Liga MX |
| Nov 6, 2021 | Puebla 1-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Mar 21, 2021 | Toluca 4-4 Puebla | Liga MX |
| Aug 29, 2020 | Puebla 4-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Feb 22, 2020 | Puebla 2-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Puebla score 1.4 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Toluca score 2.2 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puebla | 1.4 | 2.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Toluca | 2.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Puebla sit 11th in Liga MX (4 points from 3 matches) and Toluca sit 3rd (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 5 | Puebla | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 10 |
| 11 | Puebla | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy