Pyunik Yerevan vs Gandzasar: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 23, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Junior Sport Stadium, Yerevan
The Footlab model makes Pyunik Yerevan the favourite at 73%, against 19% for a draw and 8% for Gandzasar. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pyunik Yerevan vs Gandzasar?
Pyunik Yerevan is a heavy favourite: 1,792 Elo points against 1,454 — a 338-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pyunik Yerevan have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Gandzasar have 4, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Ararat(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Van(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | FC Urartu(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Debreceni VSC(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Debreceni VSC(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Alashkert(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Shirak(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Syunik(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ararat-Armenia(home) | 3-4 | Premier League |
| May 27, 2026 | Ararat-Armenia(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Pyunik Yerevan win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Gandzasar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2026 | Gandzasar 0-2 Pyunik Yerevan | Premier League |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Pyunik Yerevan 3-0 Gandzasar | Cup |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Pyunik Yerevan 2-0 Gandzasar | Premier League |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Gandzasar 0-1 Pyunik Yerevan | Premier League |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Gandzasar 1-3 Pyunik Yerevan | Premier League |
| Dec 2, 2024 | Pyunik Yerevan 1-0 Gandzasar | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Gandzasar vs Pyunik Yerevan on May 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pyunik Yerevan score 1.3 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Gandzasar score 1.2 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pyunik Yerevan | 1.3 | 0.5 | 9 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
| Gandzasar | 1.2 | 2.1 | 1 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pyunik Yerevan sit 4th in Premier League (7 points from 3 matches) and Gandzasar sit 8th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Pyunik Yerevan | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 7 |
| 8 | Gandzasar | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pyunik Yerevan vs Gandzasar?
- The Footlab model makes Pyunik Yerevan the favourite at 73%, against 19% for a draw and 8% for Gandzasar.
- Where and when is Pyunik Yerevan vs Gandzasar played?
- Pyunik Yerevan vs Gandzasar is played on October 23, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Junior Sport Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.