Qarabag vs Neftchi Baku: result 1-0 and analysis
Premyer LiqaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 1, 2017 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Tofiq Bəhramov adına Respublika stadionu, Baku
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What was the result of Qarabag vs Neftchi Baku?
Qarabag won 1-0 on December 1, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 25′M. MedvedevQarabag
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Qarabag have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Neftchi Baku have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2017 | Qaradağ Lökbatan(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Nov 26, 2017 | Zira(away) | 3-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Nov 22, 2017 | Chelsea(home) | 0-4 | UEFA Champions League |
| Nov 17, 2017 | Sumqayıt(home) | 2-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Nov 5, 2017 | Kapaz(away) | 2-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2017 | Zaqatala(home) | 5-0 | Cup |
| Nov 25, 2017 | Şamaxı FK(home) | 3-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Nov 19, 2017 | Qabala(home) | 2-3 | Premyer Liqa |
| Nov 5, 2017 | Zira(away) | 0-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 29, 2017 | Sumqayıt(home) | 2-1 | Premyer Liqa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Qarabag win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Neftchi Baku win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2017 | Neftchi Baku 1-3 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Apr 29, 2017 | Neftchi Baku 1-2 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Apr 5, 2017 | Qarabag 0-0 Neftchi Baku | Cup |
| Mar 30, 2017 | Neftchi Baku 0-2 Qarabag | Cup |
| Jan 29, 2017 | Qarabag 1-1 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 25, 2016 | Neftchi Baku 0-2 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
Last archived meeting: Neftchi Baku vs Qarabag on Aug 11, 2017
How many goals should we expect?
Qarabag score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Neftchi Baku score 1.5 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qarabag | 1.3 | 1.1 | 8 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Neftchi Baku | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Qarabag sit 4th in Premyer Liqa (3 points from 1 matches) and Neftchi Baku sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Baku | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Qarabag | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy