Qarabag vs Şamaxı FK: result 3-2 and analysis
Premyer LiqaRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 17, 2025 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Tofiq Bəhramov adına Respublika stadionu, Baku
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What was the result of Qarabag vs Şamaxı FK?
Qarabag won 3-2 on January 17, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 4′N. AxundzadəQarabag
- 14′B. PusiŞamaxı FK
- 29′O. KashchukQarabag
- 39′B. KonatéŞamaxı FK
- 72′C. HüseynovQarabag (o.g.)
Official lineup for Qarabag vs Şamaxı FK
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Qarabag
- 11E. Addai
- 15Leandro Andrade
- 21O. Kashchuk
- 90N. Axundzadə
- 6Júlio Romão
- 8M. Janković
- 2Matheus Silva
- 27T. Bayramov
- 30A. Hüseynov
- 81K. Medina
- 1Ş. Məhəmmədəliyev
Şamaxı FK
- 9B. Pusi
- 6R. Rüstəmli
- 17R. Məhərrəmli
- 24E. Adilxanov
- 30A. Tîrcoveanu
- 93B. Konaté
- 5A. Ağcabəyov
- 18C. Hüseynov
- 66V. Bakić
- 82R. Abbasov
- 1Ricardo Fernandes
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Qarabag have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Şamaxı FK have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2024 | Araz(home) | 2-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 19, 2024 | Şamaxı FK(away) | 1-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 16, 2024 | Sumqayıt(home) | 5-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 12, 2024 | IF Elfsborg(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Sabah FA(away) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2024 | Sabah FA(home) | 3-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 19, 2024 | Qarabag(home) | 0-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Səbail(home) | 0-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 9, 2024 | Turan(away) | 2-3 | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 4, 2024 | Zira(away) | 1-3 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Qarabag wins, 0 draws, 0 Şamaxı FK wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2024 | Şamaxı FK 0-1 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Qarabag 3-0 Şamaxı FK | Premyer Liqa |
| Apr 2, 2023 | Şamaxı FK 0-1 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Jan 31, 2023 | Qarabag 3-1 Şamaxı FK | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 30, 2022 | Şamaxı FK 0-4 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Aug 27, 2022 | Qarabag 4-0 Şamaxı FK | Premyer Liqa |
How many goals should we expect?
Qarabag score 2.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Şamaxı FK score 1.3 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qarabag | 2.1 | 0.7 | 10 | 3/15 | 9/15 |
| Şamaxı FK | 1.3 | 1.6 | 2 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Qarabag sit 4th in Premyer Liqa (19 points from 10 matches) and Şamaxı FK sit 7th (13 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Qarabag | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 8 | 19 |
| 7 | Şamaxı FK | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 13 |
A question about Qarabag vs Şamaxı FK?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy