Sabah FA vs Şamaxı FK: prediction and stats
Premyer LiqaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Bank Respublika Arena, Masazyr (Masazir)
The Footlab AI model makes Sabah FA the favourite at 77%, against 15% for a draw and 8% for Şamaxı FK. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,444 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sabah FA vs Şamaxı FK?
Sabah FA is a heavy favourite: 2,091 Elo points against 1,746, a 345-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sabah FA vs Şamaxı FK
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sabah FA
4-2-3-1- 99P. Mbina
- 13I. Lepinjica
- 11K. Parris
- 37Du Queiroz
- 6A. Xaybulayev
- 21V. Simić
- 27T. Puchacz
- 80A. Zedadka
- 3S. Solvet
- 5R. Daşdəmirov
- 92S. Pokatilov
Şamaxı FK
4-3-3- 11A. Bouali
- 9T. Akhvlediani
- 80H. Ismayilov
- 13Ricardo Apolinário
- 97O. Məmmədov
- 25F. Marques
- 4Rui Pacheco
- 52R. Moumini
- 5E. Rustamov
- 3Jota
- 1Ricardo Fernandes
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 08:15 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sabah FA have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Şamaxı FK have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Turan(away) | 2-3 | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Qarabag(home) | 0-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Qabala(away) | 4-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Slavia Praha(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Neftchi Baku(home) | 2-3 | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Hypers Guba(away) | 5-1 | Cup |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Imisli FK(away) | 1-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Safa Baku(home) | 3-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Zira(away) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Sabah FA wins, 1 draw, 2 Şamaxı FK wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Şamaxı FK 0-3 Sabah FA | Premyer Liqa |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Sabah FA 0-0 Şamaxı FK | Premyer Liqa |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Şamaxı FK 1-2 Sabah FA | Premyer Liqa |
| May 9, 2025 | Sabah FA 3-1 Şamaxı FK | Premyer Liqa |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Şamaxı FK 1-0 Sabah FA | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 22, 2024 | Şamaxı FK 3-1 Sabah FA | Premyer Liqa |
How many goals should we expect?
Sabah FA score 2.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Şamaxı FK score 1.6 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabah FA | 2.2 | 0.9 | 9 | 5/15 | 10/15 |
| Şamaxı FK | 1.6 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sabah FA sit 2nd in Premyer Liqa (20 points from 9 matches) and Şamaxı FK sit 7th (13 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Sabah FA | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 4 | 20 |
| 7 | Şamaxı FK | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 13 |
A question about Sabah FA vs Şamaxı FK?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sabah FA vs Şamaxı FK?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sabah FA the favourite at 77%, against 15% for a draw and 8% for Şamaxı FK.
- Where and when is Sabah FA vs Şamaxı FK played?
- Sabah FA vs Şamaxı FK is played on November 8, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Bank Respublika Arena, in the Premyer Liqa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.