Qatar U23 vs Al-Gharafa B: prediction and stats
Second DivisionRegular Season - 11Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Khalifa International Stadium, Ar-Rayyan
The Footlab model makes Qatar U23 the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Al-Gharafa B. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Qatar U23 vs Al-Gharafa B?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Qatar U23 (1,559) and Al-Gharafa B (1,490).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Qatar U23 have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Al-Gharafa B have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2026 | Republic of Ireland U21(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Croatia U21(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
| May 27, 2026 | Greece U21(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| May 13, 2026 | Oman U23(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies |
| May 11, 2026 | Oman U23(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Al Bidda SC(away) | 1-1 | Second Division |
| Apr 3, 2017 | Al-Markhiya(home) | 1-6 | Second Division |
| Mar 8, 2017 | Umm Salal B(home) | 10-1 | Second Division |
| Mar 5, 2017 | El Jaish SC B(home) | 2-1 | Second Division |
| Feb 12, 2017 | Al Shahaniya II(home) | 1-5 | Second Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Qatar U23 score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Gharafa B score 2.3 and concede 3.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qatar U23 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Al-Gharafa B | 2.3 | 3.1 | 0 | 13/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Al-Gharafa B | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Qatar U23 vs Al-Gharafa B?
- The Footlab model makes Qatar U23 the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Al-Gharafa B.
- Where and when is Qatar U23 vs Al-Gharafa B played?
- Qatar U23 vs Al-Gharafa B is played on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Khalifa International Stadium, in the Second Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.