UMM Salal vs Muaither SC: prediction and stats
Second DivisionRegular Season - 11Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Suheim Bin Hamad Stadium (Qatar SC Stadium), Doha
The Footlab model makes UMM Salal the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Muaither SC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win UMM Salal vs Muaither SC?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate UMM Salal (1,677) and Muaither SC (1,632).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UMM Salal have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Muaither SC have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lokeren-Temse(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 1, 2026 | Al-Gharafa(away) | 1-2 | Emir Cup |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Al Ahli Doha(home) | 1-3 | Stars League |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Al-Rayyan SC(away) | 0-3 | Stars League |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Al Shamal(away) | 2-3 | Stars League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Al Mesaimeer(away) | 0-1 | Second Division |
| Jul 28, 2026 | MC Oran(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Al Mesaimeer(away) | 3-1 | Second Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Al Kharaitiyat(home) | 1-2 | Second Division |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Al Bidda SC(away) | 4-3 | Second Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 UMM Salal win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Muaither SC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2025 | UMM Salal 2-3 Muaither SC | QSL Cup |
| Mar 29, 2024 | UMM Salal 1-2 Muaither SC | Stars League |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Muaither SC 3-4 UMM Salal | QSL Cup |
| Nov 2, 2023 | Muaither SC 1-3 UMM Salal | Stars League |
| Apr 10, 2022 | Muaither SC 3-3 UMM Salal | QFA Cup |
| Apr 16, 2021 | UMM Salal 1-2 Muaither SC | QFA Cup |
Last archived meeting: UMM Salal vs Muaither SC on Oct 29, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
UMM Salal score 1.9 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Muaither SC score 2.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMM Salal | 1.9 | 2.0 | 4 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Muaither SC | 2.1 | 1.8 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Muaither SC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for UMM Salal vs Muaither SC?
- The Footlab model makes UMM Salal the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Muaither SC.
- Where and when is UMM Salal vs Muaither SC played?
- UMM Salal vs Muaither SC is played on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Suheim Bin Hamad Stadium (Qatar SC Stadium), in the Second Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.