Qatar vs Australia: prediction and stats
FriendliesFriendly InternationalKick-off on November 13, 2026 at 02:45 PM (UTC)Khalifa International Stadium, Doha
The Footlab AI model makes Qatar the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Australia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Qatar wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,601 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Qatar vs Australia?
On Elo ratings, Qatar has 1,588 points and Australia 1,754.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Qatar vs Australia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Qatar
4-3-3- 11Akram Afif
- 9Y. Abdurisag
- 8Edmilson Junior
- 20Ahmed Fathi
- 19Almoez Ali
- 12Karim Boudiaf
- 2Pedro Miguel
- 13Ayoub Al Oui
- 14Homam Ahmed
- 16Boualem Khoukhi
- 1Mahmud Abunada
Known absences
Assim MadiboOut · Suspended (red card)
Australia
5-4-1- 26T. Yengi
- 17N. Irankunda
- 8C. Metcalfe
- 22J. Irvine
- 24Paul Michael Junior Okon-Engstler
- 3A. Circati
- 19H. Souttar
- 25L. Herrington
- 16A. Behich
- 4J. Italiano
- 18P. Beach
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 09:19 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Qatar have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Australia have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Saudi Arabia(away) | 0-0 | Gulf Cup of Nations |
| Sep 30, 2026 | United Arab Emirates(away) | 1-1 | Gulf Cup of Nations |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Yemen(away) | 1-0 | Gulf Cup of Nations |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Bahrain(home) | 2-0 | Gulf Cup of Nations |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Bosnia & Herzegovina(away) | 1-3 | World Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | Brazil(home) | 2-4 | Friendlies |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Brazil(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Egypt(home) | 1-1 | World Cup |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Paraguay(away) | 0-0 | World Cup |
| Jun 19, 2026 | USA(away) | 0-2 | World Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Qatar score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Australia score 1.2 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qatar | 0.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Australia | 1.2 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Qatar vs Australia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Qatar vs Australia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Qatar the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Australia.
- Where and when is Qatar vs Australia played?
- Qatar vs Australia is played on November 13, 2026 at 02:45 PM (UTC) at Khalifa International Stadium, in the Friendlies.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.