Qatar vs Ecuador: result 4-3 and analysis
FriendliesFriendlies 1Kick-off on October 12, 2018 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Khalifa International Stadium, Al Rayyan (Ar-Rayyan)
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What was the result of Qatar vs Ecuador?
Qatar won 4-3 on October 12, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 32′Akram AfifQatar
- 36′Almoez AliQatar
- 61′Hassan Al HaydosQatar (pen.)
- 66′E. ValenciaEcuador
- 68′Almoez AliQatar
- 71′E. ValenciaEcuador
- 89′J. CevallosEcuador
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Qatar have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Ecuador have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2018 | Palestine(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies |
| Sep 7, 2018 | China(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Mar 24, 2018 | Syria(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies |
| Mar 21, 2018 | Iraq(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies |
| Dec 29, 2017 | Bahrain(home) | 1-1 | Gulf Cup of Nations |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2018 | Guatemala(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
| Sep 8, 2018 | Jamaica(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
| Oct 10, 2017 | Argentina(home) | 1-3 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Oct 5, 2017 | Chile(away) | 1-2 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Sep 5, 2017 | Peru(home) | 1-2 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
How many goals should we expect?
Qatar score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ecuador score 1.6 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qatar | 1.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Ecuador | 1.6 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy