Match

Quindio vs Real Cartagena: prediction and stats

Primera BClausura - Quadrangular - 5Kick-off on November 11, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Centenario, Armenia

QuindioReal Cartagena

The Footlab AI model makes Quindio the favourite at 52%, against 28% for a draw and 20% for Real Cartagena. The most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,484 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Quindio vs Real Cartagena?

On Elo ratings, Quindio has 1,607 points and Real Cartagena 1,564.

52%28%20%
Quindio winDrawReal Cartagena win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Quindio vs Real Cartagena

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Quindio

4-3-3
  1. 7J. Lloreda
  2. 21A. Álvarez
  3. 25A. Carabalí
  1. 16Y. Torres
  2. 6S. Orozco
  3. 8F. Valencia
  1. 19J. Sandoval
  2. 5S. Roa
  3. 22M. Payares
  4. 3M. Castaño
  1. 30Joel Silva

Real Cartagena

4-3-3
  1. 10F. Montero
  2. 17J. Alemán
  3. 5J. Valencia
  1. 80E. López
  2. 14D. Pino
  3. 20L. Taffur
  1. 26C. Graciano
  2. 24G. Tegüé
  3. 25C. De Las Salas
  4. 28C. Paternina
  1. 22G. Gómez

Computed on November 4, 2026 at 12:16 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Quindio have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Real Cartagena have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Quindio
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 4, 2026Real Cartagena(away)3-2Primera B
Oct 29, 2026Real Soacha(home)2-0Primera B
Oct 24, 2026Tigres FC(home)2-0Primera B
Oct 20, 2026Depor FC(away)1-0Primera B
Oct 16, 2026Real Cartagena(home)1-1Primera B
Real Cartagena
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 4, 2026Quindio(home)2-3Primera B
Oct 29, 2026Tigres FC(away)0-0Primera B
Oct 24, 2026Barranquilla(away)1-1Primera B
Oct 19, 2026Patriotas(home)3-0Primera B
Oct 16, 2026Quindio(away)1-1Primera B

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Quindio wins, 2 draws, 2 Real Cartagena wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 4, 2026Real Cartagena 2-3 QuindioPrimera B
Oct 16, 2026Quindio 1-1 Real CartagenaPrimera B
Apr 1, 2026Real Cartagena 2-1 QuindioPrimera B
Oct 27, 2025Quindio 0-0 Real CartagenaPrimera B
May 18, 2025Real Cartagena 4-1 QuindioPrimera B
Nov 13, 2024Quindio 2-1 Real CartagenaPrimera B

Last archived meeting: Real Cartagena vs Quindio on Nov 4, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Quindio score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Real Cartagena score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Quindio1.20.996/154/15
Real Cartagena1.51.358/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Quindio sit 1st in Primera B (70 points from 38 matches) and Real Cartagena sit 4th (62 points from 40 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Quindio3820108432870
4Real Cartagena40161410624662

A question about Quindio vs Real Cartagena?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Quindio vs Real Cartagena?
The Footlab AI model makes Quindio the favourite at 52%, against 28% for a draw and 20% for Real Cartagena.
Where and when is Quindio vs Real Cartagena played?
Quindio vs Real Cartagena is played on November 11, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Centenario, in the Primera B.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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