Real Cartagena vs Quindio: prediction and stats
Primera BClausura - Quadrangular - 2Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 01:15 AM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico Jaime Morón León, Cartagena de Indias
The Footlab AI model makes Real Cartagena the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Quindio. The most likely score is 1-1. If Real Cartagena wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,746 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Cartagena vs Quindio?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Real Cartagena (1,574) and Quindio (1,582).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Real Cartagena vs Quindio
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Real Cartagena
4-3-3- 10F. Montero
- 17J. Alemán
- 5J. Valencia
- 80E. López
- 14D. Pino
- 21J. Rodríguez
- 26C. Graciano
- 24G. Tegüé
- 25C. De Las Salas
- 28C. Paternina
- 1A. Montes
Quindio
4-3-3- 25A. Carabalí
- 7J. Lloreda
- 21A. Álvarez
- 16Y. Torres
- 8F. Valencia
- 6S. Orozco
- 19J. Sandoval
- 5S. Roa
- 22M. Payares
- 14L. Rodrigo Moran
- 30Joel Silva
Computed on October 27, 2026 at 03:02 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Cartagena have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Quindio have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Barranquilla(away) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Patriotas(home) | 3-0 | Primera B |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Quindio(away) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Depor FC(away) | 2-2 | Primera B |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Popayan(home) | 2-3 | Primera B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Tigres FC(home) | 2-0 | Primera B |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Depor FC(away) | 1-0 | Primera B |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Real Cartagena(home) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Barranquilla(away) | 1-4 | Primera B |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Orsomarso(away) | 1-0 | Primera B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Real Cartagena wins, 2 draws, 1 Quindio win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Quindio 1-1 Real Cartagena | Primera B |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Real Cartagena 2-1 Quindio | Primera B |
| Oct 27, 2025 | Quindio 0-0 Real Cartagena | Primera B |
| May 18, 2025 | Real Cartagena 4-1 Quindio | Primera B |
| Nov 13, 2024 | Quindio 2-1 Real Cartagena | Primera B |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Real Cartagena 3-0 Quindio | Primera B |
Last archived meeting: Quindio vs Real Cartagena on Oct 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Real Cartagena score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Quindio score 1.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Cartagena | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Quindio | 1.0 | 0.9 | 8 | 7/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Cartagena sit 3rd in Primera B (61 points from 38 matches) and Quindio sit 2nd (64 points from 36 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Quindio | 36 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 38 | 26 | 64 |
| 3 | Real Cartagena | 38 | 16 | 13 | 9 | 60 | 43 | 61 |
A question about Real Cartagena vs Quindio?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Cartagena vs Quindio?
- The Footlab AI model makes Real Cartagena the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Quindio.
- Where and when is Real Cartagena vs Quindio played?
- Real Cartagena vs Quindio is played on November 1, 2026 at 01:15 AM (UTC) at Estadio Olímpico Jaime Morón León, in the Primera B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.