Quintanar del Rey vs Villacañas: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 18Group 18 - 30Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio San Marcos, Quintanar del Rey
The Footlab AI model makes Quintanar del Rey the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Villacañas. The most likely score is 1-1. If Quintanar del Rey wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,396 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Quintanar del Rey vs Villacañas?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Quintanar del Rey (1,736) and Villacañas (1,797).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Quintanar del Rey vs Villacañas
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Quintanar del Rey
Not enough data to predict the Quintanar del Rey lineup.
Villacañas
Not enough data to predict the Villacañas lineup.
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 04:11 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Quintanar del Rey have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Villacañas have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Villarrubia(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Marchamalo(away) | 3-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Socuéllamos(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Tarancón(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Guadalajara II(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Guadalajara II(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | CD Villa(home) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Torrijos(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Illescas(home) | 4-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Villarrobledo(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Quintanar del Rey wins, 1 draw, 2 Villacañas wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2025 | Villacañas 2-1 Quintanar del Rey | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Villacañas 1-0 Quintanar del Rey | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 13, 2024 | Quintanar del Rey 0-0 Villacañas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Mar 24, 2024 | Quintanar del Rey 2-0 Villacañas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Villacañas 0-2 Quintanar del Rey | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Mar 18, 2023 | Villacañas 0-2 Quintanar del Rey | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
Last archived meeting: Villacañas vs Quintanar del Rey on Aug 29, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Quintanar del Rey score 1.2 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Villacañas score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quintanar del Rey | 1.2 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Villacañas | 1.5 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Quintanar del Rey sit 17th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 (6 points from 9 matches) and Villacañas sit 3rd (18 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Villacañas | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 10 | 18 |
| 17 | Quintanar del Rey | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 6 |
A question about Quintanar del Rey vs Villacañas?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Quintanar del Rey vs Villacañas?
- The Footlab AI model makes Quintanar del Rey the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Villacañas.
- Where and when is Quintanar del Rey vs Villacañas played?
- Quintanar del Rey vs Villacañas is played on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio San Marcos, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.