Quorn vs Workington: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Farley Way Stadium, Quorn, Leicestershire
The Footlab model makes Quorn the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Workington. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Quorn vs Workington?
A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate Quorn (1,764) and Workington (1,689).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Quorn have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Workington have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lancaster City(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Rylands(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Redcar Athletic(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Cleethorpes Town(home) | 0-5 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Avro(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | United of Manchester(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Avro(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Guiseley AFC(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Redcar Athletic(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gainsborough Trinity(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
How many goals should we expect?
Quorn score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Workington score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quorn | 0.9 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Workington | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Quorn sit 21st in Non League Premier - Northern (2 points from 5 matches) and Workington sit 19th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Workington | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 4 |
| 21 | Quorn | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Quorn vs Workington?
- The Footlab model makes Quorn the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Workington.
- Where and when is Quorn vs Workington played?
- Quorn vs Workington is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Farley Way Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.