Alfreton Town vs Bury: result 2-3 and analysis
Non League Premier - NorthernMatchday 13Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Impact Arena, Alfreton, Derbyshire
Full time
What was the result of Alfreton Town vs Bury?
Bury won 2-3 on October 10, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 18′?Bury
- 24′680791Bury (pen.)
- 42′S. LigendzaAlfreton Town
- 69′643804Alfreton Town
- 89′D. PedroBury
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Bury win at 49%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 2-3.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alfreton Town have 7 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats; Bury have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | United of Manchester(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Redcar Athletic(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Guiseley AFC(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Shifnal Town FC(home) | 2-1 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Bamber Bridge(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Stockton Town(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bromsgrove Sporting(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Gainsborough Trinity(home) | 4-3 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Workington(home) | 5-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | AFC Emley(home) | 4-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
How many goals should we expect?
Alfreton Town score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bury score 2.7 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alfreton Town | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Bury | 2.7 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alfreton Town sit 11th in Non League Premier - Northern (23 points from 18 matches) and Bury sit 8th (29 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bury | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 32 | 18 | 29 |
| 11 | Alfreton Town | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 25 | 23 |
A question about Alfreton Town vs Bury?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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