Rače vs Čarda Martjanci: prediction and stats
3. SNL - EastEast - 6Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Igrišče Rače, Rače
The Footlab model makes Rače the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Čarda Martjanci. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rače vs Čarda Martjanci?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Rače (1,450) and Čarda Martjanci (1,521).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rače have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Čarda Martjanci have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | NK Ormoz(away) | 1-2 | 3. SNL - East |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hajdina(home) | 1-1 | 3. SNL - East |
| Jun 19, 2026 | Aluminij(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Šmartno(away) | 1-0 | 3. SNL - East |
| May 16, 2026 | Brežice(home) | 0-1 | 3. SNL - East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hajdina(away) | 2-3 | 3. SNL - East |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Šampion Celje(home) | 3-2 | 3. SNL - East |
| May 23, 2026 | Rogaška(home) | 3-3 | 3. SNL - East |
| May 16, 2026 | Zavrč(home) | 2-1 | 3. SNL - East |
| May 3, 2026 | Rače(away) | 2-0 | 3. SNL - East |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Rače win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Čarda Martjanci win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Rače 0-2 Čarda Martjanci | 3. SNL - East |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Čarda Martjanci 3-2 Rače | 3. SNL - East |
Last archived meeting: Rače vs Čarda Martjanci on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rače score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Čarda Martjanci score 2.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rače | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Čarda Martjanci | 2.1 | 2.1 | 1 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rače sit 10th in 3. SNL - East (1 points from 2 matches) and Čarda Martjanci sit 7th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Čarda Martjanci | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
| 10 | Rače | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rače vs Čarda Martjanci?
- The Footlab model makes Rače the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Čarda Martjanci.
- Where and when is Rače vs Čarda Martjanci played?
- Rače vs Čarda Martjanci is played on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Igrišče Rače, in the 3. SNL - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.