Ragusa vs AC Palermo: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone IGroup I - 32Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Aldo Campo, Ragusa
The Footlab model makes AC Palermo the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Ragusa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ragusa vs AC Palermo?
A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Ragusa (1,657) and AC Palermo (1,746).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ragusa have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; AC Palermo have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Messina(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| May 3, 2026 | AC Palermo(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Acireale(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Sancataldese(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Messina(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Reggina(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| May 3, 2026 | Ragusa(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Savoia(home) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Vibonese(away) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Apr 12, 2026 | CastrumFavara(home) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Ragusa win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 AC Palermo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Ragusa 1-2 AC Palermo | Serie D - Girone I |
| Dec 21, 2025 | AC Palermo 2-1 Ragusa | Serie D - Girone I |
How many goals should we expect?
Ragusa score 0.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; AC Palermo score 1.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ragusa | 0.7 | 0.8 | 6 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| AC Palermo | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ragusa sit 14th in Serie D - Girone I (34 points from 34 matches) and AC Palermo sit 4th (60 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | AC Palermo | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 59 | 47 | 60 |
| 14 | Ragusa | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 23 | 34 | 34 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ragusa vs AC Palermo?
- The Footlab model makes AC Palermo the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Ragusa.
- Where and when is Ragusa vs AC Palermo played?
- Ragusa vs AC Palermo is played on April 18, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Aldo Campo, in the Serie D - Girone I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.