Raith Rovers vs Dunfermline: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stark's Park, Kirkcaldy
The Footlab AI model makes Raith Rovers the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Dunfermline. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Raith Rovers vs Dunfermline?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Raith Rovers (1,810) and Dunfermline (1,793).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Raith Rovers vs Dunfermline
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Raith Rovers
4-2-3-1- 9G. Oakley
- 11J. Robertson
- 15S. Tiffoney
- 25K. Montagu
- 7A. Lyall
- 20S. Brown
- 2J. Rowe
- 3Z. Delaney
- 6J. Baird
- 5C. Fordyce
- 1J. Rae
Dunfermline
3-4-3- 26A. Tod
- 99O. Adams
- 33J. Cooper
- 47R. Fraser
- 14A. Amade
- 24D. Lobban
- 19Allan Oyirwoth
- 6N. Abdulai
- 15S. Harding
- 25A. Donnelly
- 1A. Oxborough
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Raith Rovers have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Dunfermline have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Morton(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Livingston(home) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Partick(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Arbroath(home) | 4-0 | Championship |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Inverness CT(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Aberdeen(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Morton(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Queen's Park(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Arbroath(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Raith Rovers(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Raith Rovers wins, 0 draws, 4 Dunfermline wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 2026 | Dunfermline 1-0 Raith Rovers | Championship |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Dunfermline 3-0 Raith Rovers | Championship |
| Dec 27, 2025 | Raith Rovers 1-2 Dunfermline | Championship |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Dunfermline 2-0 Raith Rovers | Championship |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Raith Rovers 2-0 Dunfermline | Championship |
| Mar 14, 2025 | Raith Rovers 2-0 Dunfermline | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Dunfermline vs Raith Rovers on Aug 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Raith Rovers score 1.4 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Dunfermline score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raith Rovers | 1.4 | 0.7 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Dunfermline | 1.5 | 1.0 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Raith Rovers sit 2nd in Championship (17 points from 9 matches) and Dunfermline sit 5th (12 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Raith Rovers | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 17 |
| 5 | Dunfermline | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 12 |
A question about Raith Rovers vs Dunfermline?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Raith Rovers vs Dunfermline?
- The Footlab AI model makes Raith Rovers the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Dunfermline.
- Where and when is Raith Rovers vs Dunfermline played?
- Raith Rovers vs Dunfermline is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stark's Park, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.