Rangers vs Motherwell: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Ibrox Stadium, Glasgow
The Footlab model makes Rangers the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Motherwell. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 20, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rangers vs Motherwell?
A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate Rangers (2,008) and Motherwell (1,925).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rangers have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Motherwell have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | ST Mirren(home) | 5-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Jagiellonia(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hibernian(home) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Jagiellonia(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Dundee Utd(away) | 1-1 | Premiership |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Stenhousemuir(away) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 13, 2026 | HJK Helsinki(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Falkirk(home) | 0-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 6, 2026 | HJK Helsinki(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Hibernian(away) | 2-1 | Premiership |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Rangers win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Motherwell win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Rangers 2-3 Motherwell | Premiership |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Motherwell 1-1 Rangers | Premiership |
| Dec 27, 2025 | Rangers 1-0 Motherwell | Premiership |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Motherwell 1-1 Rangers | Premiership |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Rangers 1-2 Motherwell | Premiership |
| Dec 29, 2024 | Motherwell 2-2 Rangers | Premiership |
Last archived meeting: Rangers vs Motherwell on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rangers score 2.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Motherwell score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rangers | 2.3 | 1.7 | 1 | 14/15 | 12/15 |
| Motherwell | 1.4 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rangers sit 9th in Premiership (1 points from 2 matches) and Motherwell sit 3rd (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Motherwell | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Rangers | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rangers vs Motherwell?
- The Footlab model makes Rangers the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Motherwell.
- Where and when is Rangers vs Motherwell played?
- Rangers vs Motherwell is played on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Ibrox Stadium, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.