Motherwell vs Rangers: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Fir Park, Motherwell
The Footlab AI model makes Rangers the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Motherwell. The most likely score is 1-1. If Rangers wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 4,831 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Motherwell vs Rangers?
Rangers starts as the favourite with a 216-point Elo edge (2,089 vs 1,873).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Motherwell vs Rangers
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Motherwell
4-2-3-1- 47S. Palmer-Houlden
- 71J. Hodge
- 18Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise
- 19I. Said
- 8L. Fadinger
- 13J. Kanga
- 45M. Emmanuel
- 5M. Moormann
- 7T. Sparrow
- 3J. Girdwood-Reich
- 1A. Paulsen
Rangers
4-2-3-1- 19K. Kelsy
- 43N. Raskin
- 10Minsu Kim
- 20R. Naderi
- 6D. Neil
- 23D. Gassama
- 29J. Penrice
- 37E. Fernandez
- 24O. Makhanya
- 21D. Sterling
- 1I. Pandur
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 07:02 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Motherwell have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Rangers have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Dundee Utd(away) | 1-1 | Premiership |
| Oct 31, 2026 | ST Mirren(home) | 1-0 | Premiership |
| Oct 28, 2026 | ST Johnstone(away) | 2-2 | Premiership |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Heart Of Midlothian(home) | 0-2 | Premiership |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Kilmarnock(away) | 2-3 | Premiership |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Aberdeen(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Heart Of Midlothian(away) | 2-2 | Premiership |
| Oct 24, 2026 | ST Johnstone(home) | 4-0 | Premiership |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Dundee(away) | 2-2 | Premiership |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Kilmarnock(home) | 3-1 | Premiership |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Motherwell wins, 2 draws, 2 Rangers wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Rangers 1-0 Motherwell | Premiership |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Rangers 2-3 Motherwell | Premiership |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Motherwell 1-1 Rangers | Premiership |
| Dec 27, 2025 | Rangers 1-0 Motherwell | Premiership |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Motherwell 1-1 Rangers | Premiership |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Rangers 1-2 Motherwell | Premiership |
How many goals should we expect?
Motherwell score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Rangers score 1.9 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Motherwell | 1.1 | 1.9 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Rangers | 1.9 | 0.6 | 8 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Motherwell sit 9th in Premiership (12 points from 12 matches) and Rangers sit 2nd (24 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rangers | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
| 9 | Motherwell | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 20 | 12 |
A question about Motherwell vs Rangers?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Motherwell vs Rangers?
- The Footlab AI model makes Rangers the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Motherwell.
- Where and when is Motherwell vs Rangers played?
- Motherwell vs Rangers is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Fir Park, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.