Rapid Vienna vs Red Bull Salzburg: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Allianz Stadion, Wien
The Footlab model makes Rapid Vienna the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Red Bull Salzburg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rapid Vienna vs Red Bull Salzburg?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Rapid Vienna (2,046) and Red Bull Salzburg (2,092).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rapid Vienna have 12 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats; Red Bull Salzburg have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Heart Of Midlothian(away) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Grazer AK(home) | 8-0 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Paide(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Ried(away) | 2-1 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Paide(away) | 4-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Mjallby AIF(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | WSG Wattens(away) | 3-0 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Pafos(away) | 3-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Wolfsberger AC(away) | 1-1 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Pafos(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Rapid Vienna win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Red Bull Salzburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Rapid Vienna 1-0 Red Bull Salzburg | Bundesliga |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Red Bull Salzburg 0-1 Rapid Vienna | Bundesliga |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Rapid Vienna 1-0 Red Bull Salzburg | Bundesliga |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Red Bull Salzburg 2-1 Rapid Vienna | Bundesliga |
| May 24, 2025 | Red Bull Salzburg 4-2 Rapid Vienna | Bundesliga |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Rapid Vienna 0-2 Red Bull Salzburg | Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Rapid Vienna vs Red Bull Salzburg on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rapid Vienna score 3.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Red Bull Salzburg score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rapid Vienna | 3.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Red Bull Salzburg | 1.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rapid Vienna sit 1st in Bundesliga (9 points from 3 matches) and Red Bull Salzburg sit 4th (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rapid Vienna | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 9 |
| 4 | Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rapid Vienna vs Red Bull Salzburg?
- The Footlab model makes Rapid Vienna the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Red Bull Salzburg.
- Where and when is Rapid Vienna vs Red Bull Salzburg played?
- Rapid Vienna vs Red Bull Salzburg is played on February 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Allianz Stadion, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.