Grazer AK vs Lask Linz: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Merkur Arena, Graz
The Footlab model makes Lask Linz the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Grazer AK. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Grazer AK vs Lask Linz?
Lask Linz starts as the favourite with a 233-point Elo edge (2,115 vs 1,882).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Grazer AK have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Lask Linz have 11, 0 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Ried(away) | 0-1 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Rapid Vienna(away) | 0-8 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Austria Lustenau(home) | 2-1 | Bundesliga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Lask Linz(away) | 0-3 | Bundesliga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Fach-Donaufeld(away) | 4-0 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Celtic(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Ried(home) | 4-1 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Austria Vienna(away) | 2-0 | Bundesliga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Grazer AK(home) | 3-0 | Bundesliga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kalsdorf(away) | 7-0 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Grazer AK win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Lask Linz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2026 | Lask Linz 3-0 Grazer AK | Bundesliga |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Grazer AK 1-2 Lask Linz | Bundesliga |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Lask Linz 1-0 Grazer AK | Bundesliga |
| May 17, 2025 | Grazer AK 1-0 Lask Linz | Bundesliga |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Lask Linz 1-0 Grazer AK | Bundesliga |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Grazer AK 0-0 Lask Linz | Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Lask Linz vs Grazer AK on Jul 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Grazer AK score 1.4 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Lask Linz score 2.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grazer AK | 1.4 | 2.0 | 4 | 5/15 | 11/15 |
| Lask Linz | 2.7 | 1.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Grazer AK sit 11th in Bundesliga (3 points from 4 matches) and Lask Linz sit 2nd (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lask Linz | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 9 |
| 11 | Grazer AK | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Grazer AK vs Lask Linz?
- The Footlab model makes Lask Linz the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Grazer AK.
- Where and when is Grazer AK vs Lask Linz played?
- Grazer AK vs Lask Linz is played on February 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Merkur Arena, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.