Rapid vs Oţelul: prediction and stats
Liga IRegular Season - 23Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Superbet Arena-Giulești, București
The Footlab model makes Rapid the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Oţelul. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rapid vs Oţelul?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Rapid (1,781) and Oţelul (1,714).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rapid have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Oţelul have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Petrolul Ploiesti(away) | 2-0 | Liga I |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dinamo Bucuresti(home) | 0-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Uta Arad(away) | 0-0 | Liga I |
| Aug 2, 2026 | CFR 1907 Cluj(home) | 3-1 | Liga I |
| Jul 27, 2026 | FC Botosani(away) | 1-1 | Liga I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Arges Pitesti(home) | 1-0 | Liga I |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Concordia(away) | 1-5 | Cupa României |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Universitatea Craiova(home) | 1-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Petrolul Ploiesti(away) | 0-1 | Liga I |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Dinamo Bucuresti(home) | 1-1 | Liga I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Rapid win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Oţelul win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | Rapid 0-2 Oţelul | Liga I |
| Aug 11, 2025 | Oţelul 1-1 Rapid | Liga I |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Oţelul 1-1 Rapid | Liga I |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Rapid 0-0 Oţelul | Liga I |
| Feb 3, 2024 | Rapid 2-1 Oţelul | Liga I |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Oţelul 0-0 Rapid | Liga I |
How many goals should we expect?
Rapid score 0.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Oţelul score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rapid | 0.9 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Oţelul | 1.5 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rapid sit 3rd in Liga I (11 points from 6 matches) and Oţelul sit 9th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rapid | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 11 |
| 9 | Oţelul | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rapid vs Oţelul?
- The Footlab model makes Rapid the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Oţelul.
- Where and when is Rapid vs Oţelul played?
- Rapid vs Oţelul is played on January 30, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Superbet Arena-Giulești, in the Liga I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 30, 2027FCSBvsDinamo Bucuresti
- Jan 30, 2027Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorghevsFC Botosani
- Jan 30, 2027Arges PitestivsFC Voluntari
- Jan 30, 2027Farul ConstantavsCFR 1907 Cluj
- Jan 30, 2027Universitatea ClujvsUniversitatea Craiova
- Jan 30, 2027CsikszeredavsUta Arad
- Jan 30, 2027Corvinul HunedoaravsPetrolul Ploiesti