Match

Rapid vs Oţelul: prediction and stats

Liga IRegular Season - 23Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Superbet Arena-Giulești, București

RapidOţelul

The Footlab model makes Rapid the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Oţelul. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Rapid vs Oţelul?

A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Rapid (1,781) and Oţelul (1,714).

Rapid win53 %
Draw26 %
Oţelul win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rapid have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Oţelul have 6, 6 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Rapid
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Petrolul Ploiesti(away)2-0Liga I
Aug 15, 2026Dinamo Bucuresti(home)0-1Liga I
Aug 7, 2026Uta Arad(away)0-0Liga I
Aug 2, 2026CFR 1907 Cluj(home)3-1Liga I
Jul 27, 2026FC Botosani(away)1-1Liga I
Oţelul
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 24, 2026Arges Pitesti(home)1-0Liga I
Aug 19, 2026Concordia(away)1-5Cupa României
Aug 16, 2026Universitatea Craiova(home)1-1Liga I
Aug 9, 2026Petrolul Ploiesti(away)0-1Liga I
Jul 31, 2026Dinamo Bucuresti(home)1-1Liga I

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Rapid win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Oţelul win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Dec 13, 2025Rapid 0-2 OţelulLiga I
Aug 11, 2025Oţelul 1-1 RapidLiga I
Feb 8, 2025Oţelul 1-1 RapidLiga I
Sep 28, 2024Rapid 0-0 OţelulLiga I
Feb 3, 2024Rapid 2-1 OţelulLiga I
Sep 17, 2023Oţelul 0-0 RapidLiga I

Last archived meeting: Rapid vs Oţelul on Dec 13, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Rapid score 0.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Oţelul score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Rapid0.91.057/155/15
Oţelul1.51.449/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Rapid sit 3rd in Liga I (11 points from 6 matches) and Oţelul sit 9th (9 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Rapid63217311
9Oţelul6231769

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Rapid vs Oţelul?
The Footlab model makes Rapid the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Oţelul.
Where and when is Rapid vs Oţelul played?
Rapid vs Oţelul is played on January 30, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Superbet Arena-Giulești, in the Liga I.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Rapid and Oţelul

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