Match

Rapperswil vs Étoile Carouge: prediction and stats

Challenge LeagueMatchday 18Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Sportstadion Grünfeld, Jona

RapperswilÉtoile Carouge

The Footlab AI model makes Étoile Carouge the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Rapperswil. The most likely score is 1-1. If Étoile Carouge wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 6,399 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Rapperswil vs Étoile Carouge?

A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Rapperswil (1,827) and Étoile Carouge (1,836).

37%25%38%
Rapperswil winDrawÉtoile Carouge win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Rapperswil vs Étoile Carouge

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Rapperswil

4-2-3-1
  1. 9N. Mupemba
  1. 10S. Diarrassouba
  2. 7Y. Ryter
  3. 31L. Emini
  4. 26A. Charveys
  5. 8V. Hamdiu
  1. 37W. Le Pogam
  2. 28J. Ambassa
  3. 3B. Morgado
  4. 4I. Beka
  1. 18A. Omerovic

Étoile Carouge

4-1-4-1
  1. 76Itaitinga
  1. 8R. Alves
  2. 21M. Holcbecher
  3. 77T. Escorza
  4. 6M. El Jaouhari
  5. 10B. Caslei
  1. 4I. Strohbach
  2. 24M. Dubosson
  3. 3F. Hoxha
  4. 25V. Felder
  1. 23Lionel Huwiler

Computed on November 15, 2026 at 07:02 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rapperswil have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Étoile Carouge have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Rapperswil
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 6, 2026SC Kriens(away)0-1Challenge League
Oct 30, 2026Stade Nyonnais(home)1-4Challenge League
Oct 23, 2026FC WIL 1900(away)2-2Challenge League
Oct 16, 2026FC ST. Gallen(home)0-2Schweizer Cup
Oct 9, 2026Stade Lausanne-Ouchy(home)0-3Challenge League
Étoile Carouge
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026FC Winterthur(away)2-2Challenge League
Oct 30, 2026SC Kriens(home)2-2Challenge League
Oct 24, 2026FC Aarau(away)2-1Challenge League
Oct 16, 2026Stade Lausanne-Ouchy(away)0-3Schweizer Cup
Oct 9, 2026Yverdon Sport(home)0-2Challenge League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Rapperswil wins, 0 draws, 2 Étoile Carouge wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 28, 2026Étoile Carouge 2-1 RapperswilChallenge League
Apr 24, 2026Rapperswil 2-1 Étoile CarougeChallenge League
Jan 30, 2026Étoile Carouge 2-1 RapperswilChallenge League
Nov 21, 2025Étoile Carouge 0-2 RapperswilChallenge League
Jul 25, 2025Rapperswil 1-0 Étoile CarougeChallenge League
May 18, 2024Rapperswil 3-1 Étoile Carouge1. Liga Promotion

Last archived meeting: Étoile Carouge vs Rapperswil on Aug 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Rapperswil score 1.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Étoile Carouge score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Rapperswil1.61.928/159/15
Étoile Carouge1.11.537/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Rapperswil sit 9th in Challenge League (11 points from 13 matches) and Étoile Carouge sit 7th (14 points from 13 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Étoile Carouge13355141914
9Rapperswil13328182611

A question about Rapperswil vs Étoile Carouge?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Rapperswil vs Étoile Carouge?
The Footlab AI model makes Étoile Carouge the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Rapperswil.
Where and when is Rapperswil vs Étoile Carouge played?
Rapperswil vs Étoile Carouge is played on December 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Sportstadion Grünfeld, in the Challenge League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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