Ratchaburi vs BG Pathum United: prediction and stats
Thai League 1Regular Season - 24Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Dragon Solar Park, Ratchaburi
The Footlab AI model makes Ratchaburi the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for BG Pathum United. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ratchaburi wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ratchaburi vs BG Pathum United?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Ratchaburi (1,718) and BG Pathum United (1,712).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ratchaburi vs BG Pathum United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ratchaburi
4-2-3-1- 9Bruno Mendes
- 21E. Panya
- 16Roque Mesa
- 10Jonathan Viera
- 8T. Suengchitthawon
- 6Tana
- 27J. Curran
- 31S. van Wermeskerken
- 3Tarek Aggoun
- 15A. Promrak
- 99K. Phatomakkakul
BG Pathum United
4-3-3- 11P. Gustavsson
- 19A. Coffey
- 18C. Songkrasin
- 26A. Belmonte
- 6S. Yooyen
- 5K. Kaman
- 50E. Osmanović
- 48W. Choolthong
- 37F. Kaufmann
- 16T. Yanagi
- 28S. Anuin
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 08:21 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ratchaburi have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; BG Pathum United have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Kyoto Sanga(away) | 0-1 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Sukhothai FC(home) | 6-0 | Thai League 1 |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Ho Chi Minh(home) | 1-1 | ASEAN Club Championship |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Rayong FC(away) | 1-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | SHANGHAI SIPG(home) | 4-6 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Adelaide United(home) | 1-2 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ayutthaya FC(home) | 1-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Bangkok United(away) | 2-3 | Thai League 1 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Home United(away) | 1-1 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Rasi Salai United(home) | 3-2 | Thai League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ratchaburi wins, 2 draws, 2 BG Pathum United wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | BG Pathum United 2-2 Ratchaburi | Thai League 1 |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Ratchaburi 0-0 BG Pathum United | Thai League 1 |
| Jan 15, 2025 | BG Pathum United 1-2 Ratchaburi | Thai League 1 |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Ratchaburi 4-1 BG Pathum United | Thai League 1 |
| May 4, 2024 | Ratchaburi 0-1 BG Pathum United | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 24, 2024 | Ratchaburi 0-3 BG Pathum United | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: BG Pathum United vs Ratchaburi on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ratchaburi score 2.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; BG Pathum United score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ratchaburi | 2.2 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| BG Pathum United | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ratchaburi sit 6th in Thai League 1 (7 points from 4 matches) and BG Pathum United sit 10th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Ratchaburi | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 7 |
| 10 | BG Pathum United | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 5 |
A question about Ratchaburi vs BG Pathum United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ratchaburi vs BG Pathum United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ratchaburi the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for BG Pathum United.
- Where and when is Ratchaburi vs BG Pathum United played?
- Ratchaburi vs BG Pathum United is played on April 18, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Dragon Solar Park, in the Thai League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.