BG Pathum United vs Prachuap: prediction and stats
Thai League 1Regular Season - 25Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)BG Stadium, Pathum Thani
The Footlab AI model makes BG Pathum United the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Prachuap. The most likely score is 1-1. If BG Pathum United wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win BG Pathum United vs Prachuap?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate BG Pathum United (1,712) and Prachuap (1,691).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for BG Pathum United vs Prachuap
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
BG Pathum United
4-3-3- 11P. Gustavsson
- 19A. Coffey
- 18C. Songkrasin
- 26A. Belmonte
- 6S. Yooyen
- 5K. Kaman
- 50E. Osmanović
- 48W. Choolthong
- 37F. Kaufmann
- 16T. Yanagi
- 28S. Anuin
Prachuap
4-2-3-1- 17Édgar Méndez
- 23K. Thawornsak
- 10Tauã
- 70P. Jantum
- 11R. Tachikawa
- 8S. Kanyarot
- 5Airton
- 88J. Phasukihan
- 3Bernardo Vilar
- 15J. Nyholm
- 39W. Srathongjan
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 09:16 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, BG Pathum United have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Prachuap have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Adelaide United(home) | 1-2 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ayutthaya FC(home) | 1-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Bangkok United(away) | 2-3 | Thai League 1 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Home United(away) | 1-1 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Rasi Salai United(home) | 3-2 | Thai League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Chiangrai United(home) | 2-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Pattani(away) | 3-0 | Thai League 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sukhothai FC(home) | 1-0 | Thai League 1 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Rayong FC(away) | 0-1 | Thai League 1 |
| May 31, 2026 | Buriram United(away) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 BG Pathum United wins, 3 draws, 1 Prachuap win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | BG Pathum United 3-0 Prachuap | Thai League 1 |
| Jan 14, 2026 | Prachuap 1-0 BG Pathum United | FA Cup |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Prachuap 2-2 BG Pathum United | Thai League 1 |
| Feb 22, 2025 | BG Pathum United 1-0 Prachuap | Thai League 1 |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Prachuap 2-2 BG Pathum United | Thai League 1 |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Prachuap 1-1 BG Pathum United | Thai League 1 |
Last archived meeting: BG Pathum United vs Prachuap on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
BG Pathum United score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Prachuap score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BG Pathum United | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Prachuap | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
BG Pathum United sit 10th in Thai League 1 (5 points from 4 matches) and Prachuap sit 4th (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Prachuap | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
| 10 | BG Pathum United | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 5 |
A question about BG Pathum United vs Prachuap?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for BG Pathum United vs Prachuap?
- The Footlab AI model makes BG Pathum United the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Prachuap.
- Where and when is BG Pathum United vs Prachuap played?
- BG Pathum United vs Prachuap is played on April 25, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at BG Stadium, in the Thai League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.