Rathfriland vs Annagh United: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 24Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Iveagh Park, Rathfriland
The Footlab AI model makes Annagh United the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Rathfriland. The most likely score is 1-1. If Annagh United wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,626 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rathfriland vs Annagh United?
Annagh United starts as the favourite with a 154-point Elo edge (1,513 vs 1,359).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Rathfriland vs Annagh United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Rathfriland
4-3-3- RRuairi Fitzpatrick
- EE. Rooney
- DD. Tate
- AAndrew Kilmartin
- 23J. Corbett
- MMaurice Jack Chambers
- JJ. Barbour
- DDaniel Devlin
- JJ. Cooper
- BB. Johnston
- SS. Maguire
Annagh United
4-3-3- 27E. Teggart
- 7Ryan Swan
- 9A. Balde
- 77Philip Donnelly
- 6Jack Henderson
- 17Aaron Rogers
- KKris Calvert
- CC. Young
- 11Craig Taylor
- 18Lee Upton
- 1Joel Little
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 09:29 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rathfriland have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Annagh United have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Strabane Athletic(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Ards(home) | 0-0 | League Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Dundela(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Armagh City(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | H&W Welders(away) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Loughgall(away) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Queen's University(home) | 5-1 | Championship |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Limavady United(home) | 3-4 | League Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Armagh City(away) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Glenavon FC(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Rathfriland wins, 0 draws, 1 Annagh United win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | Annagh United 4-2 Rathfriland | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Annagh United vs Rathfriland on Aug 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rathfriland score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Annagh United score 2.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rathfriland | 1.2 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Annagh United | 2.6 | 1.3 | 3 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rathfriland sit 15th in Championship (6 points from 10 matches) and Annagh United sit 2nd (72 points from 38 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Annagh UnitedChampionship 1: Promotion Group | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 39 | 72 |
| 15 | RathfrilandChampionship 1 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 9 | 22 | 6 |
A question about Rathfriland vs Annagh United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rathfriland vs Annagh United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Annagh United the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Rathfriland.
- Where and when is Rathfriland vs Annagh United played?
- Rathfriland vs Annagh United is played on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Iveagh Park, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.