Moyola Park vs Rathfriland: prediction and stats
ChampionshipMatchday 25Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Mill Meadow, Caisleán Dhásain
The Footlab AI model makes Rathfriland the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Moyola Park. The most likely score is 1-1. If Rathfriland wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,697 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Moyola Park vs Rathfriland?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Moyola Park (1,318) and Rathfriland (1,363).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Moyola Park vs Rathfriland
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Moyola Park
4-3-3- 54K. Ximenes
- 9J. McCready
- 65L. Harkin
- 23J. Wallace
- AA. Gray
- CC. Houston
- RR. McLean
- BB. Deane
- NN. Fielding
- RR. McLean
- AA. Findlay
Rathfriland
4-3-3- RRuairi Fitzpatrick
- EE. Rooney
- DD. Tate
- AAndrew Kilmartin
- 23J. Corbett
- MMaurice Jack Chambers
- JJ. Barbour
- DDaniel Devlin
- JJ. Cooper
- BB. Johnston
- SS. Maguire
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 11:11 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Moyola Park have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Rathfriland have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Newry City AFC(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Institute(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Dundela(away) | 4-1 | League Cup |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Newington Youth(home) | 2-3 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Loughgall(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Ballinamallard United(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Strabane Athletic(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Ards(home) | 0-0 | League Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Dundela(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Armagh City(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Moyola Park wins, 0 draws, 2 Rathfriland wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Rathfriland 0-1 Moyola Park | Premier Intermediate League |
| Mar 10, 2026 | Moyola Park 2-1 Rathfriland | Premier Intermediate League |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Moyola Park 0-3 Rathfriland | Premier Intermediate League |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Rathfriland 2-3 Moyola Park | Premier Intermediate League |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Moyola Park 2-1 Rathfriland | Premier Intermediate League |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Rathfriland 3-0 Moyola Park | Premier Intermediate League |
Last archived meeting: Rathfriland vs Moyola Park on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Moyola Park score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Rathfriland score 1.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moyola Park | 1.3 | 1.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Rathfriland | 1.0 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Moyola Park sit 13th in Championship (11 points from 10 matches) and Rathfriland sit 15th (6 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Moyola Park | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 11 |
| 15 | Rathfriland | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 9 | 22 | 6 |
A question about Moyola Park vs Rathfriland?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Moyola Park vs Rathfriland?
- The Footlab AI model makes Rathfriland the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Moyola Park.
- Where and when is Moyola Park vs Rathfriland played?
- Moyola Park vs Rathfriland is played on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Mill Meadow, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.