Rayong FC vs Uthai Thani: prediction and stats
Thai League 1Regular Season - 5Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)WHA Rayong Stadium, Rayong
The Footlab model makes Rayong FC the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Uthai Thani. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rayong FC vs Uthai Thani?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Rayong FC (1,630) and Uthai Thani (1,628).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rayong FC have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Uthai Thani have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Bangkok United(home) | 1-1 | Thai League 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | Ratchaburi(away) | 1-6 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Buriram United(home) | 3-0 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Lamphun Warrior(home) | 1-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Uthai Thani(away) | 1-4 | Thai League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Chiangrai United(away) | 0-1 | Thai League 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | Prachuap(away) | 0-2 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Bangkok United(home) | 1-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Port FC(home) | 0-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Rayong FC(home) | 4-1 | Thai League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Rayong FC win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Uthai Thani win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Uthai Thani 4-1 Rayong FC | Thai League 1 |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Rayong FC 2-1 Uthai Thani | Thai League 1 |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Rayong FC 2-3 Uthai Thani | Thai League 1 |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Uthai Thani 3-1 Rayong FC | Thai League 1 |
| Feb 5, 2023 | Uthai Thani 1-0 Rayong FC | Thai League 2 |
| Sep 18, 2022 | Rayong FC 1-0 Uthai Thani | Thai League 2 |
Last archived meeting: Uthai Thani vs Rayong FC on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rayong FC score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Uthai Thani score 0.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayong FC | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| Uthai Thani | 0.8 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rayong FC sit 9th in Thai League 1 (37 points from 30 matches) and Uthai Thani sit 11th (31 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Rayong FC | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 44 | 49 | 37 |
| 11 | Uthai Thani | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 39 | 44 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rayong FC vs Uthai Thani?
- The Footlab model makes Rayong FC the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Uthai Thani.
- Where and when is Rayong FC vs Uthai Thani played?
- Rayong FC vs Uthai Thani is played on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at WHA Rayong Stadium, in the Thai League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.