Sisaket United vs BG Pathum United: prediction and stats
Thai League 1Regular Season - 5Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Sri Nakhon Lamduan Stadium, Sisaket
The Footlab model makes BG Pathum United the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Sisaket United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sisaket United vs BG Pathum United?
BG Pathum United starts as the favourite with a 278-point Elo edge (1,823 vs 1,544).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sisaket United have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; BG Pathum United have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Songkhla(home) | 5-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Esan Pattaya(away) | 3-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Pattani(away) | 0-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Kasetsart FC(away) | 1-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Police Tero(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | Aston Villa(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2026 | Port FC(home) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| May 10, 2026 | Prachuap(home) | 3-0 | Thai League 1 |
| May 1, 2026 | Muangthong United(away) | 1-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC(home) | 1-0 | Thai League 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Sisaket United score 1.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; BG Pathum United score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sisaket United | 1.7 | 1.0 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| BG Pathum United | 1.5 | 1.0 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | BG Pathum United | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 29 | 52 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sisaket United vs BG Pathum United?
- The Footlab model makes BG Pathum United the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Sisaket United.
- Where and when is Sisaket United vs BG Pathum United played?
- Sisaket United vs BG Pathum United is played on October 18, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Sri Nakhon Lamduan Stadium, in the Thai League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.