Where and when is Reading U21 vs Derby County U21 played?

Reading U21 vs Derby County U21 is played on August 24, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Select Car Leasing Stadium, in the Premier League 2 Division One.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Reading U21 vs Derby County U21: prediction and stats

Premier League 2 Division OneRegular SeasonKick-off on August 24, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Select Car Leasing Stadium, Reading, Berkshire

Reading U21

Derby County U21

The Footlab model makes Reading U21 the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Derby County U21. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Reading U21 vs Derby County U21?

A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate Reading U21 (1,733) and Derby County U21 (1,647).

Reading U21 win58 %

Draw21 %

Derby County U21 win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Reading U21 have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Derby County U21 have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Reading U21
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 11, 2026	Bristol City U21(away)	0-4	Premier League Cup
Apr 27, 2026	Huddersfield Town U21(home)	0-1	Professional Development League
Apr 13, 2026	Derby County U21(home)	4-1	Premier League 2 Division One
Mar 30, 2026	Sunderland U21(away)	2-2	Premier League 2 Division One
Mar 25, 2026	Blackburn Rovers U21(away)	1-3	Premier League Cup

Derby County U21
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 18, 2026	FC Halifax Town(away)	2-6	National League Cup
Aug 14, 2026	Hull City U21(home)	1-4	Premier League Cup
Aug 1, 2026	Carlisle(home)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs
Apr 27, 2026	Brentford U21(away)	0-2	Professional Development League
Apr 13, 2026	Reading U21(away)	1-4	Premier League 2 Division One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Reading U21 win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Derby County U21 win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 13, 2026	Reading U21 4-1 Derby County U21	Premier League 2 Division One
Jan 17, 2025	Reading U21 0-1 Derby County U21	Premier League 2 Division One
Dec 4, 2023	Derby County U21 5-1 Reading U21	Premier League 2 Division One

Last archived meeting: Reading U21 vs Derby County U21 on Apr 13, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Reading U21 score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Derby County U21 score 1.1 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Reading U21	1.6	1.5	4	7/15	10/15
Derby County U21	1.1	2.3	4	8/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Reading U21 sit 19th in Premier League 2 Division One (25 points from 20 matches) and Derby County U21 sit 24th (20 points from 20 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
19	Reading U21	20	7	4	9	29	36	25
24	Derby County U21	20	5	5	10	26	44	20

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Reading U21 vs Derby County U21?: The Footlab model makes Reading U21 the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Derby County U21.
Where and when is Reading U21 vs Derby County U21 played?: Reading U21 vs Derby County U21 is played on August 24, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Select Car Leasing Stadium, in the Premier League 2 Division One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.