Reading vs Arsenal: result 5-7 and analysis
League Cup8th FinalsKick-off on October 30, 2012 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Select Car Leasing Stadium, Reading, Berkshire
Full time
What was the result of Reading vs Arsenal?
Arsenal won 5-7 on October 30, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 12′J. RobertsReading
- 19′Laurent KoscielnyReading (o.g.)
- 20′M. LeigertwoodReading
- 37′N. HuntReading
- 45′T. WalcottArsenal
- 64′O. GiroudArsenal
- 89′Laurent KoscielnyArsenal
- 90′T. WalcottArsenal
- 103′Marouane ChamakhArsenal
- 115′P. PogrebnyakReading
- 120′T. WalcottArsenal
- 120′Marouane ChamakhArsenal
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Reading have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Arsenal have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2012 | Fulham(home) | 3-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 20, 2012 | Liverpool(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 6, 2012 | Swansea(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 29, 2012 | Newcastle(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 26, 2012 | QPR(away) | 3-2 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2012 | QPR(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 24, 2012 | FC Schalke 04(home) | 0-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 20, 2012 | Norwich(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 6, 2012 | West Ham(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2012 | Olympiakos Piraeus(home) | 3-1 | UEFA Champions League |
How many goals should we expect?
Reading score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Arsenal score 2.1 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reading | 1.6 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Arsenal | 2.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy