Swindon Town vs Aston Villa: result 2-3 and analysis
League Cup8th FinalsKick-off on October 30, 2012 at 07:45 PM (UTC)The County Ground, Swindon, Wiltshire
Full time
What was the result of Swindon Town vs Aston Villa?
Aston Villa won 2-3 on October 30, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 30′C. BentekeAston Villa
- 39′Gabriel Imuetinyan AgbonlahorAston Villa
- 78′M. StoreySwindon Town
- 81′M. StoreySwindon Town
- 90′C. BentekeAston Villa
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Swindon Town have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Aston Villa have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2012 | Stevenage(away) | 4-0 | League One |
| Oct 23, 2012 | Crewe(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Oct 20, 2012 | Scunthorpe(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Oct 13, 2012 | Coventry(home) | 2-2 | League One |
| Oct 6, 2012 | Bury(away) | 1-0 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2012 | Norwich(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 20, 2012 | Fulham(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 7, 2012 | Tottenham(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 30, 2012 | West Brom(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 25, 2012 | Manchester City(away) | 4-2 | League Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Swindon Town score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Aston Villa score 1.1 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swindon Town | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Aston Villa | 1.1 | 1.4 | 3 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy