Reading vs Burton Albion: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 40Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Select Car Leasing Stadium, Reading, Berkshire
The Footlab model makes Reading the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Burton Albion. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Reading vs Burton Albion?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Reading (1,849) and Burton Albion (1,798).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Reading have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Burton Albion have 3, 8 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Stevenage(away) | 3-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | AFC Wimbledon(away) | 0-0 | League One |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Wycombe(home) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Luton(home) | 3-4 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bromley(away) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leicester(away) | 2-1 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stevenage(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Blackburn(home) | 1-2 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Derby(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Solihull Moors(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Reading win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Burton Albion win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | Burton Albion 1-2 Reading | League One |
| Jan 1, 2026 | Reading 2-0 Burton Albion | League One |
| Jan 28, 2025 | Burton Albion 3-2 Reading | League One |
| Oct 1, 2024 | Reading 3-1 Burton Albion | League One |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Burton Albion 3-2 Reading | League One |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Reading 0-0 Burton Albion | League One |
Last archived meeting: Burton Albion vs Reading on Mar 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Reading score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Burton Albion score 0.8 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reading | 1.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Burton Albion | 0.8 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Reading sit 17th in League One (1 points from 2 matches) and Burton Albion sit 7th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Burton Albion | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 17 | Reading | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Reading vs Burton Albion?
- The Footlab model makes Reading the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Burton Albion.
- Where and when is Reading vs Burton Albion played?
- Reading vs Burton Albion is played on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Select Car Leasing Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.