Barnsley vs Peterborough: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 40Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Oakwell, Barnsley, South Yorkshire
The Footlab model makes Barnsley the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Peterborough. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Barnsley vs Peterborough?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Barnsley (1,791) and Peterborough (1,784).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Barnsley have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Peterborough have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Crewe(home) | 3-2 | League Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Doncaster(away) | 0-0 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bromley(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wigan(home) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Guiseley AFC(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Watford(away) | 5-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mansfield Town(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bradford(away) | 0-2 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bristol Rovers(away) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | West Brom(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Barnsley win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Peterborough win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2026 | Barnsley 2-1 Peterborough | League One |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Peterborough 0-1 Barnsley | FA Cup |
| Aug 19, 2025 | Peterborough 0-1 Barnsley | League One |
| Apr 21, 2025 | Barnsley 1-1 Peterborough | League One |
| Dec 29, 2024 | Peterborough 1-3 Barnsley | League One |
| Dec 29, 2023 | Peterborough 2-2 Barnsley | League One |
Last archived meeting: Barnsley vs Peterborough on Feb 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Barnsley score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Peterborough score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barnsley | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Peterborough | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Barnsley sit 21st in League One (1 points from 2 matches) and Peterborough sit 13th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Peterborough | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 21 | Barnsley | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Barnsley vs Peterborough?
- The Footlab model makes Barnsley the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Peterborough.
- Where and when is Barnsley vs Peterborough played?
- Barnsley vs Peterborough is played on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Oakwell, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.