Reading vs Derby: result 1-0 and analysis
League OneRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 23, 2024 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Select Car Leasing Stadium, Reading, Berkshire
Full time
What was the result of Reading vs Derby?
Reading won 1-0 on January 23, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 54′P. MukairuReading
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Reading have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Derby have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2024 | Wigan(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Jan 9, 2024 | Brighton U21(away) | 0-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Jan 1, 2024 | Exeter City(home) | 3-2 | League One |
| Dec 29, 2023 | Cheltenham(away) | 2-2 | League One |
| Dec 26, 2023 | Peterborough(away) | 2-2 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2024 | Lincoln(away) | 0-0 | League One |
| Jan 15, 2024 | Burton Albion(home) | 3-2 | League One |
| Jan 9, 2024 | Bradford(home) | 0-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Jan 6, 2024 | Fleetwood Town(away) | 3-1 | League One |
| Jan 1, 2024 | Peterborough(home) | 2-3 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Reading win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Derby win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2022 | Reading 2-2 Derby | Championship |
| Sep 29, 2021 | Derby 1-0 Reading | Championship |
| Apr 5, 2021 | Reading 3-1 Derby | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2020 | Derby 0-2 Reading | Championship |
| Jun 27, 2020 | Derby 2-1 Reading | Championship |
| Dec 21, 2019 | Reading 3-0 Derby | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Reading score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 1.9 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reading | 1.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| Derby | 1.9 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Reading | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy