Reading vs Derby: result 1-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 1, 2016 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Select Car Leasing Stadium, Reading, Berkshire
Full time
What was the result of Reading vs Derby?
Reading and Derby drew 1-1 on October 1, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 62′M. VydraDerby
- 90′G. EvansReading
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Reading have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Derby have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2016 | Brentford(away) | 1-4 | Championship |
| Sep 24, 2016 | Huddersfield(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 20, 2016 | Brighton(away) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Sep 17, 2016 | Barnsley(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 13, 2016 | Birmingham(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2016 | Cardiff(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Sep 24, 2016 | Blackburn(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 20, 2016 | Liverpool(home) | 0-3 | League Cup |
| Sep 17, 2016 | Bristol City(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 13, 2016 | Ipswich(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Reading win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Derby win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2016 | Derby 1-1 Reading | Championship |
| Sep 15, 2015 | Reading 0-1 Derby | Championship |
| May 2, 2015 | Derby 0-3 Reading | Championship |
| Feb 14, 2015 | Derby 1-2 Reading | FA Cup |
| Oct 18, 2014 | Reading 0-3 Derby | Championship |
| Sep 23, 2014 | Derby 2-0 Reading | League Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Reading score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 0.7 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reading | 1.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Derby | 0.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy