Reading vs Derby: result 0-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 15, 2015 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Select Car Leasing Stadium, Reading, Berkshire
Full time
What was the result of Reading vs Derby?
Derby won 0-1 on September 15, 2015.
Goalscorers
- 69′T. InceDerby
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Reading have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Derby have 3, 8 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2015 | Ipswich(home) | 5-1 | Championship |
| Aug 29, 2015 | Brentford(away) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Aug 25, 2015 | Portsmouth(away) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 22, 2015 | Milton Keynes Dons(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Aug 19, 2015 | Sheffield Wednesday(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2015 | Preston(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Aug 29, 2015 | Leeds(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Aug 21, 2015 | Birmingham(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Aug 18, 2015 | Middlesbrough(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2015 | Charlton(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Reading win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Derby win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2015 | Derby 0-3 Reading | Championship |
| Feb 14, 2015 | Derby 1-2 Reading | FA Cup |
| Oct 18, 2014 | Reading 0-3 Derby | Championship |
| Sep 23, 2014 | Derby 2-0 Reading | League Cup |
| Mar 15, 2014 | Reading 0-0 Derby | Championship |
| Sep 21, 2013 | Derby 1-3 Reading | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Reading score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 1.5 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reading | 1.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Derby | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy