Reading vs Derby: result 1-2 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 1Kick-off on August 3, 2018 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Select Car Leasing Stadium, Reading, Berkshire
Full time
What was the result of Reading vs Derby?
Derby won 1-2 on August 3, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 52′J. BöðvarssonReading
- 60′M. MountDerby
- 90′T. LawrenceDerby
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Reading have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Derby have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2018 | Cardiff(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Apr 28, 2018 | Ipswich(home) | 0-4 | Championship |
| Apr 21, 2018 | Sheffield Wednesday(away) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Apr 14, 2018 | Sunderland(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Apr 10, 2018 | Fulham(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2018 | Fulham(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| May 11, 2018 | Fulham(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| May 6, 2018 | Barnsley(home) | 4-1 | Championship |
| Apr 28, 2018 | Aston Villa(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Apr 24, 2018 | Cardiff(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Reading win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Derby win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2018 | Reading 3-3 Derby | Championship |
| Nov 4, 2017 | Derby 2-4 Reading | Championship |
| Jan 21, 2017 | Derby 3-2 Reading | Championship |
| Oct 1, 2016 | Reading 1-1 Derby | Championship |
| Jan 12, 2016 | Derby 1-1 Reading | Championship |
| Sep 15, 2015 | Reading 0-1 Derby | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Reading score 0.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 1.4 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reading | 0.9 | 1.9 | 3 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Derby | 1.4 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy