Reading vs Derby: result 3-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 40Kick-off on April 5, 2021 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Select Car Leasing Stadium, Reading, Berkshire
Full time
What was the result of Reading vs Derby?
Reading won 3-1 on April 5, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 45′M. OliseReading
- 57′G. PuşcaşReading
- 79′T. LawrenceDerby
- 84′Lucas JoãoReading
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Reading have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Derby have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2021 | Barnsley(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Mar 20, 2021 | QPR(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Mar 17, 2021 | Birmingham(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Mar 13, 2021 | Nottingham Forest(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Mar 6, 2021 | Sheffield Wednesday(home) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2021 | Luton(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Mar 20, 2021 | Stoke City(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Mar 16, 2021 | Brentford(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Mar 13, 2021 | Millwall(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Mar 10, 2021 | Barnsley(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Reading win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Derby win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2020 | Derby 0-2 Reading | Championship |
| Jun 27, 2020 | Derby 2-1 Reading | Championship |
| Dec 21, 2019 | Reading 3-0 Derby | Championship |
| Jan 19, 2019 | Derby 2-1 Reading | Championship |
| Aug 3, 2018 | Reading 1-2 Derby | Championship |
| Feb 24, 2018 | Reading 3-3 Derby | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Reading score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 0.9 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reading | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Derby | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy