Real Giulianova vs Vigor Senigallia: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 19Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Rubens Fadini, Giulianova
The Footlab model makes Real Giulianova the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Vigor Senigallia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Giulianova vs Vigor Senigallia?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Real Giulianova (1,729) and Vigor Senigallia (1,713).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Giulianova have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Vigor Senigallia have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Ostia Mare(home) | 4-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Maceratese(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Chieti(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Castelfidardo Calcio(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Unipomezia(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Unipomezia(away) | 3-3 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Chieti(home) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Castelfidardo Calcio(away) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Atletico Ascoli(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Recanatese(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Real Giulianova win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Vigor Senigallia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | Real Giulianova 0-0 Vigor Senigallia | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Vigor Senigallia 1-1 Real Giulianova | Serie D - Girone F |
Last archived meeting: Real Giulianova vs Vigor Senigallia on Jan 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Real Giulianova score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Vigor Senigallia score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Giulianova | 1.3 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Vigor Senigallia | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1 | 13/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Giulianova sit 7th in Serie D - Girone F (49 points from 34 matches) and Vigor Senigallia sit 8th (49 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Real Giulianova | 34 | 11 | 16 | 7 | 40 | 31 | 49 |
| 8 | Vigor Senigallia | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 45 | 40 | 49 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Giulianova vs Vigor Senigallia?
- The Footlab model makes Real Giulianova the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Vigor Senigallia.
- Where and when is Real Giulianova vs Vigor Senigallia played?
- Real Giulianova vs Vigor Senigallia is played on January 10, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Rubens Fadini, in the Serie D - Girone F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.