Maceratese vs Atletico Ascoli: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 19Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Helvia Recina, Macerata
The Footlab AI model makes Atletico Ascoli the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Maceratese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Atletico Ascoli wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,422 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maceratese vs Atletico Ascoli?
Atletico Ascoli starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (1,662 vs 1,560).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Maceratese vs Atletico Ascoli
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Maceratese
4-3-3- 9Matteo Colombi
- 16Federico Palmieri
- 15D. Allegretti
- 8Alberto Quadri
- 7L. De Grazia
- 10Gianluca Turchetta
- 14Christian Ventola
- 5D. Marchetti
- 6Filippo Gattari
- 4A. Bondioli
- 22F. Forte
Atletico Ascoli
Not enough data to predict the Atletico Ascoli lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 08:10 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maceratese have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Atletico Ascoli have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Foligno Calcio(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Recanatese(away) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Santegidiese(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Pietralunga(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Ancona(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Vigor Senigallia(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Fossombrone(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Real Giulianova(away) | 2-4 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Sporting Trestina(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 16, 2026 | L'Aquila(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Maceratese win, 0 draws, 2 Atletico Ascoli wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Atletico Ascoli 2-1 Maceratese | Serie D - Girone F |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Atletico Ascoli 2-0 Maceratese | Serie D - Girone F |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Maceratese 3-1 Atletico Ascoli | Serie D - Girone F |
Last archived meeting: Atletico Ascoli vs Maceratese on Sep 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Maceratese score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico Ascoli score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maceratese | 1.0 | 1.5 | 2 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Atletico Ascoli | 0.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maceratese sit 14th in Serie D - Girone F (7 points from 7 matches) and Atletico Ascoli sit 9th (10 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Atletico Ascoli | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
| 14 | Maceratese | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 7 |
A question about Maceratese vs Atletico Ascoli?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maceratese vs Atletico Ascoli?
- The Footlab AI model makes Atletico Ascoli the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Maceratese.
- Where and when is Maceratese vs Atletico Ascoli played?
- Maceratese vs Atletico Ascoli is played on January 10, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Helvia Recina, in the Serie D - Girone F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.