Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid: result 1-1 and analysis
La LigaRegular Season - 23Kick-off on February 8, 2025 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid
Full time
What was the result of Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid?
Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid drew 1-1 on February 8, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 35′J. ÁlvarezAtletico Madrid (pen.)
- 50′Kylian MbappéReal Madrid
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Madrid have 12 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Atletico Madrid have 13, 1 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2025 | Leganes(away) | 3-2 | Copa del Rey |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Espanyol(away) | 0-1 | La Liga |
| Jan 29, 2025 | Stade Brestois 29(away) | 3-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Valladolid(away) | 3-0 | La Liga |
| Jan 22, 2025 | Red Bull Salzburg(home) | 5-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2025 | Getafe(home) | 5-0 | Copa del Rey |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Mallorca(home) | 2-0 | La Liga |
| Jan 29, 2025 | Red Bull Salzburg(away) | 4-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Villarreal(home) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Jan 21, 2025 | Bayer Leverkusen(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Real Madrid win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Atletico Madrid win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2024 | Atletico Madrid 1-1 Real Madrid | La Liga |
| Feb 4, 2024 | Real Madrid 1-1 Atletico Madrid | La Liga |
| Jan 18, 2024 | Atletico Madrid 4-2 Real Madrid | Copa del Rey |
| Jan 10, 2024 | Real Madrid 5-3 Atletico Madrid | Super Cup |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Atletico Madrid 3-1 Real Madrid | La Liga |
| Feb 25, 2023 | Real Madrid 1-1 Atletico Madrid | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid on Sep 29, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Real Madrid score 3.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico Madrid score 2.5 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 3.2 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 14/15 |
| Atletico Madrid | 2.5 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Madrid sit 5th in La Liga (3 points from 1 matches) and Atletico Madrid sit 3rd (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Atletico Madrid | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | Real Madrid | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy