Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund: result 3-2 and analysis
FIFA Club World CupQuarter-finalsKick-off on July 5, 2025 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid
Full time
What was the result of Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund?
Real Madrid won 3-2 on July 5, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 10′Gonzalo GarcíaReal Madrid
- 20′Fran GarcíaReal Madrid
- 90′M. BeierBorussia Dortmund
- 90′Kylian MbappéReal Madrid
- 90′S. GuirassyBorussia Dortmund (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Madrid have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Borussia Dortmund have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 1, 2025 | Juventus(home) | 1-0 | FIFA Club World Cup |
| Jun 27, 2025 | Red Bull Salzburg(away) | 3-0 | FIFA Club World Cup |
| Jun 22, 2025 | CF Pachuca(home) | 3-1 | FIFA Club World Cup |
| Jun 18, 2025 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC(home) | 1-1 | FIFA Club World Cup |
| May 24, 2025 | Real Sociedad(home) | 2-0 | La Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2, 2025 | Monterrey(home) | 2-1 | FIFA Club World Cup |
| Jun 25, 2025 | Ulsan Hyundai FC(home) | 1-0 | FIFA Club World Cup |
| Jun 21, 2025 | Mamelodi Sundowns(away) | 4-3 | FIFA Club World Cup |
| Jun 17, 2025 | Fluminense(away) | 0-0 | FIFA Club World Cup |
| May 17, 2025 | Holstein Kiel(home) | 3-0 | Bundesliga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Real Madrid win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Borussia Dortmund win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2024 | Real Madrid 5-2 Borussia Dortmund | UEFA Champions League |
| Jun 1, 2024 | Borussia Dortmund 0-2 Real Madrid | UEFA Champions League |
| Dec 6, 2017 | Real Madrid 3-2 Borussia Dortmund | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 26, 2017 | Borussia Dortmund 1-3 Real Madrid | UEFA Champions League |
| Dec 7, 2016 | Real Madrid 2-2 Borussia Dortmund | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 27, 2016 | Borussia Dortmund 2-2 Real Madrid | UEFA Champions League |
Last archived meeting: Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund on Oct 22, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Real Madrid score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Borussia Dortmund score 2.4 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 1.7 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Borussia Dortmund | 2.4 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Madrid sit 1st in FIFA Club World Cup (7 points from 3 matches) and Borussia Dortmund sit 1st (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 1 | Real Madrid | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 7 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy