Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano: result 2-1 and analysis
La LigaRegular Season - 27Kick-off on March 9, 2025 at 03:15 PM (UTC)Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid
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What was the result of Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano?
Real Madrid won 2-1 on March 9, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 30′Kylian MbappéReal Madrid
- 34′Vinícius JúniorReal Madrid
- 45′Pedro DíazRayo Vallecano
Official lineup for Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Real Madrid
4-4-2- 7Vinícius Júnior
- 9Kylian Mbappé
- 5J. Bellingham
- 10L. Modrić
- 14A. Tchouaméni
- 11Rodrygo
- 20Fran García
- 4D. Alaba
- 35Raúl Asencio
- 17Lucas Vázquez
- 13A. Lunin
Rayo Vallecano
4-2-3-1- 18Álvaro García
- 3Pep Chavarría
- 4Pedro Díaz
- 21Adri Embarba
- 15Gumbau
- 6P. Ciss
- 22A. Espino
- 5Aridane
- 24F. Lejeune
- 2A. Rațiu
- 13A. Batalla
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Madrid have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Rayo Vallecano have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2025 | Atletico Madrid(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Real Betis(away) | 1-2 | La Liga |
| Feb 26, 2025 | Real Sociedad(away) | 1-0 | Copa del Rey |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Girona(home) | 2-0 | La Liga |
| Feb 19, 2025 | Manchester City(home) | 3-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | Sevilla(home) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Villarreal(home) | 0-1 | La Liga |
| Feb 17, 2025 | Barcelona(away) | 0-1 | La Liga |
| Feb 7, 2025 | Valladolid(home) | 1-0 | La Liga |
| Jan 31, 2025 | Leganes(away) | 1-0 | La Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Real Madrid wins, 3 draws, 1 Rayo Vallecano win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2024 | Rayo Vallecano 3-3 Real Madrid | La Liga |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Real Madrid | La Liga |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Real Madrid 0-0 Rayo Vallecano | La Liga |
| May 24, 2023 | Real Madrid 2-1 Rayo Vallecano | La Liga |
| Nov 7, 2022 | Rayo Vallecano 3-2 Real Madrid | La Liga |
| Feb 26, 2022 | Rayo Vallecano 0-1 Real Madrid | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid on Dec 14, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Real Madrid score 2.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Rayo Vallecano score 1.4 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 2.5 | 1.0 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Rayo Vallecano | 1.4 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Madrid sit 4th in La Liga (18 points from 8 matches) and Rayo Vallecano sit 13th (8 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Real Madrid | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 8 | 18 |
| 13 | Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 8 |
A question about Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy