Real Madrid vs Villarreal: result 3-1 and analysis
La LigaRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 4, 2025 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid
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What was the result of Real Madrid vs Villarreal?
Real Madrid won 3-1 on October 4, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 47′Vinícius JúniorReal Madrid
- 69′Vinícius JúniorReal Madrid (pen.)
- 73′G. MikautadzeVillarreal
- 81′Kylian MbappéReal Madrid
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Madrid have 13 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; Villarreal have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2025 | Kairat Almaty(away) | 5-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Atletico Madrid(away) | 2-5 | La Liga |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Levante(away) | 4-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Espanyol(home) | 2-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 16, 2025 | Marseille(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2025 | Juventus(home) | 2-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Athletic Club(home) | 1-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Sevilla(away) | 2-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Osasuna(home) | 2-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 16, 2025 | Tottenham(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Real Madrid win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Villarreal win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | Villarreal 1-2 Real Madrid | La Liga |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Real Madrid 2-0 Villarreal | La Liga |
| May 19, 2024 | Villarreal 4-4 Real Madrid | La Liga |
| Dec 17, 2023 | Real Madrid 4-1 Villarreal | La Liga |
| Apr 8, 2023 | Real Madrid 2-3 Villarreal | La Liga |
| Jan 19, 2023 | Villarreal 2-3 Real Madrid | Copa del Rey |
Last archived meeting: Villarreal vs Real Madrid on Mar 15, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Real Madrid score 2.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Villarreal score 1.6 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 2.5 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
| Villarreal | 1.6 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Villarreal | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy