Recreativo da Caála vs Desportivo Huíla: prediction and stats
GirabolaRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Mártires da Canhala, Caála
The Footlab model calls this one tight: 35% for Recreativo da Caála, 36% for a draw, 29% for Desportivo Huíla. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Recreativo da Caála vs Desportivo Huíla?
A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate Recreativo da Caála (1,657) and Desportivo Huíla (1,712).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Recreativo da Caála have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Desportivo Huíla have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC Luanda(away) | 0-0 | Girabola |
| May 29, 2022 | Académica do Lobito(home) | 1-0 | Girabola |
| May 23, 2022 | Sagrada Esperança(away) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 7, 2022 | Sporting de Cabinda(away) | 1-2 | Girabola |
| May 1, 2022 | Desportivo Huíla(home) | 2-1 | Girabola |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | 1º de Agosto(away) | 0-1 | Girabola |
| May 24, 2026 | Petro de Luanda(home) | 0-0 | Girabola |
| May 20, 2026 | 1º de Maio(away) | 0-0 | Girabola |
| May 16, 2026 | Guelson FC(home) | 4-0 | Girabola |
| May 6, 2026 | Redonda FC(home) | 2-0 | Girabola |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Recreativo da Caála win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Desportivo Huíla win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2022 | Recreativo da Caála 2-1 Desportivo Huíla | Girabola |
| Nov 28, 2021 | Desportivo Huíla 0-1 Recreativo da Caála | Girabola |
| Jun 30, 2021 | Desportivo Huíla 0-0 Recreativo da Caála | Girabola |
| Feb 21, 2021 | Recreativo da Caála 0-0 Desportivo Huíla | Girabola |
| Nov 30, 2019 | Recreativo da Caála 1-0 Desportivo Huíla | Girabola |
| May 12, 2019 | Recreativo da Caála 2-2 Desportivo Huíla | Girabola |
Last archived meeting: Recreativo da Caála vs Desportivo Huíla on May 1, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Recreativo da Caála score 0.8 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Desportivo Huíla score 1.1 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 23% probability of over 2.5 goals and 32% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Recreativo da Caála | 0.8 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Desportivo Huíla | 1.1 | 0.6 | 9 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Recreativo da Caála sit 9th in Girabola (1 points from 1 matches) and Desportivo Huíla sit 12th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Recreativo da Caála | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Desportivo Huíla | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Recreativo da Caála vs Desportivo Huíla?
- The Footlab model calls this one tight: 35% for Recreativo da Caála, 36% for a draw, 29% for Desportivo Huíla.
- Where and when is Recreativo da Caála vs Desportivo Huíla played?
- Recreativo da Caála vs Desportivo Huíla is played on September 13, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Mártires da Canhala, in the Girabola.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 23% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.